On The Market

Are we in a recession? A lot of people certainly think so. After a surprisingly accurate recession indicator went off weeks ago, more and more Americans have begun to believe that we’re already facing an economic downturn. The problem? We rarely know we’re in a recession until we’re out of one. So, how can we be sure we’re in a recession and not just seeing a boomerang effect from the hot post-pandemic economy? For many Americans, it sure FEELS like a recession. Unemployment has gradually increased, the cost of living has risen significantly over the past few years, and men may be buying fewer pairs of underwear (that’s actually a recession indicator). So, if we are in a recession, what should real estate investors do now to prepare so they don’t get the rug pulled on them before it’s too late? Do you sit tight or start contemplating selling properties? Dave, Henry, and Kathy all share what they’d do in a recession, the not-so-obvious signs of a recession (or a recession in your specific industry), and whether or not they believe we’ll be in a recession over the next year. If the worst has yet to come, you’ll be able to spot the signs of a coming recession after this episode. In This Episode We Cover Whether or not we’re in a recession right now (and signs of one) The one recession indicator going off that’s pointing to an economic downturn Signs that we’re already in a recession and what we would do during one How to deleverage yourself from riskier properties if the economy starts to slow Whether or not a recession is still in the cards over the next year  Why it may be time to start saving once your husband/brother/nephew stops wearing new underwear And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 238 - Recession “Yellow Flags” Emerge as Unemployment Metric Rises Get Your BPCon2024 Tickets!  59% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is in a recession, report finds Grab the Book “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 03:08 Is This Time Different?  04:26 Recession Indicators  09:21 What Does “Recession” Mean? 20:15 What to Do During a Recession  27:38 Are We in a Recession? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-247  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mortgage rates are falling, but the Fed hasn’t made any rate cuts yet. What’s the deal? We’re explaining it all in this August mortgage rate update with repeat guest and lender-friend of the show, Caeli Ridge. Caeli fills us in on today’s mortgage interest rates, why rates are moving without any federal funds rate cuts happening, what could cause rates to go even lower, and whether paying points on your mortgage makes sense in the current market. Good news for investors: interest rates are getting into the high sixes for some rental property loans, but lower rates aren’t always a good thing. With the economy slowing down and inflation (thankfully) seeing some significant progress, unemployment is rising, and better interest rates may come at the cost of a worse economy. But this isn’t a surprise, no matter how unfortunate it is for many workers in today’s market. We’re getting Caeli’s take on the Fed’s next moves, today’s mortgage rates, and what’s in store for future rates. This is crucial commentary from a lender working on loan products for investors in today’s exact interest rate environment, and hearing her may change your next investing move. Dave also gives his opinion on the mortgage rates we could expect to see next year and whether buying or refinancing even makes sense now. In This Episode We Cover August 2024 mortgage rate updates and where investor interest rates are right now Why mortgage rates have been falling WITHOUT the Fed lowering their rates Paying mortgage points and whether or not it’s worth it if rates are continuing to fall The BIG uptick in refinancing and purchasing activity since rates began to fall Where Dave thinks mortgage rates could be next year And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Caeli's BiggerPockets Profile With Mortgage Rates Falling, When Should Investors Refinance? Get Dave’s Mortgage Point Calculator Analyze Real Estate Like a Pro with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: 00:00 Intro 00:54 Mortgage Rate Update 04:43 Powell Talks, Rates Change  09:19 Bad News if Rates Fall  10:27 What Else Affects Rates 14:04 “Points Options” Improve  15:47 Advice for Investors  18:20 Dave’s Take on Future Rates Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-246 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Kamala Harris has a plan to make it easier for first-time homebuyers to buy a house, but it comes at the expense of institutional investors. Eviction filings surge throughout the Sunbelt states, EVEN as apartment rent prices fall across all bedroom counts. And could commercial real estate’s struggles lead to you paying even higher property taxes? We’re getting into it all in today’s headlines show! First, we’re talking about Kamala Harris’ new proposal to kick Wall Street out of the single-family homebuying arena, potentially opening up space for first-time homebuyers to finally break out of renting. The proposal sounds promising, but is it too late to actually impact today’s housing market when institutional investors take up such a small amount of the single-family supply? We’re giving our takes on the new proposal. Apartment rent prices fall across all bedroom counts for the first time in years. But, even with seemingly improving rent affordability, eviction filings have surged across the South. Even with the rent drops, are tenants simply unable to pay such high prices for everything, rent included, in 2024? Lastly, we’re talking about how the decline in commercial real estate and office space has led to cities increasing property taxes, and by no small amount. In This Episode We Cover Whether Kamala Harris’ anti-Wall Street ownership proposal could work for homebuyers Why apartment rent prices are falling, and whether or not this will continue Single-family rents and why we AREN’T noticing them fall too The real reason evictions have seen such a spike across the Sunbelt states Commercial real estate-caused property tax hikes happening in THESE cities And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Property Manager Finder See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile How the Financial Policies of Trump and Harris Could Impact Real Estate Investors Kamala Harris wants to stop Wall Street's homebuying spree  Asking Rents Fall Across All Bedroom Counts for First Time in 4 Years  Evictions Surge in Major Cities in the American Sunbelt How much do downtown real estate losses lead to property tax hikes? Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:45) Harris’ New Homebuying Proposal  (16:41) Rent Prices Fall  (25:40) Evictions Surge in Sunbelt States (36:13) CRE-Caused Property Tax Hikes Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and   https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-245 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

New “broker fee” reform could help tenants save thousands of dollars when finding their next apartment or home to rent, but it could come at a significant cost to landlords. In big cities like Boston and New York, it’s not unusual for landlords to hire a broker to help bring in more potential tenants. The problem is that, unlike the rest of the United States, landlords in these cities DON’T have to pay the broker—the tenant does. But this isn’t some small fee. These broker fees range from eight to fifteen percent of the annual rent, and in pricey Boston or New York City, that could mean thousands of dollars in fees to move into a new place. We brought on StreetEasy Senior Economist Kenny Lee to explain why this antiquated system is still in place and whether or not the reform will go through and help renters. What are the economic implications for the rental market if these reforms are passed? Will this help renters, landlords, or both, and could it actually increase competition in already competitive markets by lowering the barrier to entry for finding a new rental? In This Episode We Cover Boston and NYC’s “broker fees” explained and why they’re so different from the rest of the US How the broker fee reform could change the rental market in big cities The cost of moving and how high broker fees restrict renters who are already struggling What broker fee reform could do to rental property demand in these big cities Broker fee negotiation and what the future looks like for landlords who have to pay these finder’s fees And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile New York City’s Real Estate Brokerages Could Be Destroyed By a New Law Connect with Kenny Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:22) Tenants Forced to Pay Fees (05:18) Why in NYC? (08:47) New Reform to Help Renters  (12:09) Will This Change the Rental Market? (15:16) Better for Everyone? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and   https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-244 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We’re currently in a home insurance crisis. Everyone (except for Henry, apparently) is feeling the sting of home insurance prices rising significantly year after year. Some investors have seen their homes’ insurance costs double or triple over a few years. This is making it harder not only to protect your property but also to keep your cash flow. What do you do, and can anyone save us from this home insurance crisis? Today, we’re discussing something too big to ignore: your home insurance bill. Premiums are rising fast across coastal states and are starting to creep inland. In this episode, we’re talking about why home insurance prices have gone up so much and so quickly, the state governments actively working to get premium prices down, and what investors MUST do now to limit the price hikes coming down the road. We’re also exploring state-offered insurance programs that help homeowners whose policies have been dropped. Can the government come in and fix our insurance premium problems before it’s too late, or will rising prices lead to home price corrections as affordability suffers? In This Episode We Cover 2024’s home insurance crisis and why premium prices are rising so fast The states with the highest risk of insurance price hikes and what’s causing them Government intervention and how some states are trying to limit rising prices Whether or not higher insurance prices will cause home prices to correct in at-risk areas What investors must do NOW to keep their insurance premiums reasonable Whether people will start fleeing states with the highest insurance costs and move to more affordable areas And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 218 - These “Subtle Risks” Could Have Astronomical Impacts on Real Estate Expenses w/John Sheffield Learn How to Run the Numbers BEFORE You Buy with Dave’s Book “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:52) California Wildfires  (06:03) Where Insurance Isn't Exploding  (08:48) Why Insurance Prices are Rising  (10:38) State Regulations Limit Price Hikes (13:38) Check Your Policy NOW (19:07) Effects on Home Prices  (23:44) Should the Government Step In? (31:51) What Should Investors Do? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-243 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A couple of years ago, everyone was expecting an “Airbnbust,” where short-term rental investments would sit vacant, hosts would be forced to sell, and hotels would take the reigns as the leaders in hospitality. But that didn’t (exactly) happen. Instead, we got a slightly slower short-term rental market with fewer bookings, some more supply, and a slight dip in revenue for hosts. The short-term rental market is now reaching “equilibrium,” and demand is returning. So, what do hosts need to know now? Jamie Lane from AirDNA, the leading global short-term rental data and analytics company that tracks every listing on the market, is here to give us a mid-year update. Jamie talks about how the short-term rental market is returning to normal, why demand is starting to shoot back up all while prices are dropping, and the “cracks in the system” that could point to future short-term rental weakness. He points out the short-term rental markets with the most growth potential, the oversupplied ones seeing drops in demand, and why the European Airbnb scene, even with its regulations, is exploding. Plus, he’ll share the amenities and policy changes you can make NOW to get more bookings and what to look for BEFORE you buy in a new market. In This Episode We Cover A 2024 short-term rental market update (supply, demand, pricing, and threats) The short-term rentals seeing the least demand, and why this may be worrying for hosts “Fringe” markets that are performing even better than the traditionally popular markets Why hosts are seeing a drop in revenue and the markets with weak demand  International travelers returning and the minor tweaks you can make to get more bookings Jamie’s forecast for the rest of the year and why he predicts demand will rise this fall And So Much More! Links from the Show Get the Short-Term Rental Furnishing List Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See James and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! #Airbnbust One Year Later: Did the Short-Term Rental Industry Ever Collapse? James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, “Short-Term Rental, Long-Term Wealth” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:43) 2024 Short-Term Rental Update  (04:56) "Cracks" Start to Form  (07:24) Markets with Growing Demand  (11:07) Markets to Be Cautious Of  (15:52) International Travelers Return  (21:20) Must-Have Amenities/Policies  (24:10) 2024 Predictions  (25:59) How to Set Your Prices (28:25) Why Nightly Rates Are Falling  (29:55) Growing STR Markets  (32:19) Everyone's Going to Europe! (36:40) Best Opportunities for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-242  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Why are developers ditching California NOW? Is commercial real estate still struggling, and what’s up with all those empty office buildings all over town? Does it seem like everyone is overpaying for properties nowadays? It’s not just you; we’ve been seeing it, too, but there’s a reason why they’re doing it. Today, we’re touching on hot topics from the BiggerPockets Forums and giving our takes on what investors are seeing in today’s housing market. First, everyone has another reason to bag on California real estate as developers decide to move out of the state, thanks to rising construction costs, long permitting times, and bureaucratic inefficiencies. But in a state with such massive appreciation and high rents, is it really the right move to make? Next, we’re back to the commercial real estate crash, specifically, the office investing space crash, as more and more buildings sit vacant. There’s one way to solve this, and doing so could make you a LOT of money. Who’s got the guts (and the money) to make something out of all those empty offices? Finally, we’re discussing WHY investors commonly overpay for properties and how they may be making money EVEN when you think their offers are ridiculous. Do you have an investing question? Ask it on the BiggerPockets Forums!   In This Episode We Cover The developer departure from California and why builders are ditching the Golden State Changing regulations and how it’s getting harder to build rental units  Office space’s continued struggles and the one way investors can solve this problem Overpaying for properties and why investors commonly offer over the ARV (after repair value) How to audit your construction/renovation costs to know if you’re throwing away money on your rehabs And So Much More! Links from the Show Ask Your Question on the BiggerPockets Forums Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile A New California Law Just Increased Regulations On Home Flippers Real Developers Leaving California What Does the Future Hold for the Office Market? So many value add buildings selling at higher total project cost then ARV Grab Henry’s New Book “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:14) Investors Quit on California  (10:11) CRE Continues to Suffer  (19:28) Overpaying for Properties? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-241 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

For the past 999 episodes of the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast, we’ve heard stories from investors who have achieved financial freedom through rental property investing. However, when we started this podcast in 2013, it was a different time. The housing market had crashed just years earlier, prices were still recovering, and cash flow was abundant in many markets. But things have changed, and now we’re changing, too. Welcome to our 1,000th episode and your first look at the new BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast. We’re getting back to the basics, sharing investor strategies that work in today’s market and showcasing the data investors need to know now so they can reach financial freedom faster. Our first guest on this new wealth-building journey is Scott Trench, CEO of BiggerPockets and rental property investor. Today, we ask Scott, “Is financial freedom still possible through real estate, and if so, how do investors achieve it in this housing market?” Scott shares what both beginner and experienced investors must do now to reach financial freedom, who should even be investing in the first place, and the best beginner investment EVERYONE listening to this should be taking full advantage of.  Ready to start building your path to financial freedom today? The BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast is the best place to be!  We also want to thank David Greene and Rob Abasolo for their massive contributions—David Greene for nearly 7 years as a host and co-host of the podcast, and Rob Abasolo for many of the past 250 episodes. They did a fantastic job building on the foundations poured by our Founder, Josh Dorkin, and Brandon Turner and continued the work of changing millions of lives. While we had hoped that Rob and David would continue to stay on as hosts in this rotational capacity, we completely understand their desire to move on to their next adventures, and wish them success in those endeavors, knowing that they will continue to change many lives with their thought leadership. We wish them the best of luck in their next endeavors. In This Episode We Cover The new BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast and what we’re changing starting today Whether you can still achieve financial freedom through real estate in 2024 The best beginner strategy to start building wealth, EVEN with little money Who should begin investing in real estate and whether you have what it takes The problem with “passive income” and why hands-on rentals beat it Investing in affordable markets and who should start with out-of-state investing How you can become a millionaire without having a huge rental portfolio And So Much More! Links from the Show Find Your Next Investing Market with BiggerPockets Market Finder Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave and Scott at BPCON2024 in Cancun! BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1 - Building a Successful House Flipping Business and Losing Millions with Marty Boardman Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Scott's BiggerPockets Profile How the “Middle-Class Trap” Stops Your Early Retirement  Lend to Live  Millions of Americans Should Keep Their Homes as Rentals, Not Sell. Here’s Why.  On the Market Podcast  Yes, I’m Afraid of a Real Estate Bubble—But I Continue to Invest Anyway. Here’s Why. Grab Scott’s Book, “Set for Life” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-240 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Why is everyone ignoring this one severe housing market trend, what does a 2008 crash predictor think will happen in 2025, and why are homes starting to sit longer on the market, even with mortgage rates starting to fall? Are all the headlines pointing to housing market havoc or a return to normalization where homes aren’t flying off the market like they were just a few years ago? We’re getting into it all in this headlines episode as we touch on four of the top housing market stories from this week and give our opinions on whether they’re hype or not. First, a market-shifting trend has substantial side effects on the housing market. We’ve talked about this before, but many homebuyers are overlooking it. This trend could push people out of once-popular housing markets and into underrated areas that boast far more future-proofed benefits. What’s the trend we’re talking about? Tune in to find out! We’re also discussing the increase in average days on market (DOM), why homes are sitting for longer, and whether this is something to be concerned about. Think moving to Washington, Texas, or Florida will save you money due to no income taxes? Think again because there are some serious downsides to no-income-tax states most investors don’t think about. Finally, we’re analyzing a 2008 crash predictor’s 2025 forecast—could he be right again?  In This Episode We Cover The one housing market trend hiding in plain sight that could become a considerable issue soon A 2008 crash predictor’s take on the 2025 housing market and whether home prices will decline Why so many people are reversing on the “great reshuffling” and moving away from sunny states A sizable bump in homes sitting on the market and why it’s taking longer to sell The serious downsides of buying/investing in a no-income-tax state And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 895 - BiggerNews: How Climate is Exploding Insurance, Building, and Investing Costs A market-shifting real-estate trend is hiding in plain sight  Nearly Two-Thirds of Home Listings Have Been Sitting on the Market Longer Than a Month As Buyers Grapple With High Costs  U.S. States With No Income Tax Aren’t as Affordable as You Might Think  Housing analyst who predicted the 2008 home price crash weighs in on the current market Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:01) A Market-Shifting Trend  (08:40) Average Days on Market Expand (18:12) Downsides of No Income Tax (27:53) 2008 Predictor’s New Forecast Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-239 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

One of the most reliable recession indicators, the “Sahm Rule,” just issued a “yellow flag” for the economy. Even now, with low unemployment, high spending, and overall economic growth, we aren’t protected from a recession or economic downturn. Will the US economy be able to dodge this recession, and will the Fed be fast enough to save us from falling into a state of high unemployment and meager economic growth? The Washington Post’s Heather Long joins us to share the latest data on the labor market, unemployment rate, Fed rate cuts, and why this particular recession indicator is going off now. First, we talk about why there is so much positivity in the job market and why most people won’t notice the cracks starting to form. With tech jobs getting slashed and government jobs growing, are we moving in the right direction? Heather also explains a strong recession indicator, the “Sahm Rule,” and why it’s throwing up a “yellow flag” warning even with the hot job market. Finally, we’ll touch on interest rates, whether the Fed will actually come through with a rate cut this year, and how fast future rate cuts could come after the first. In This Episode We Cover The unemployment-based recession indicator that’s throwing up “yellow flags” Which industries are hiring and which are firing in 2024 What the “unemployment rate” really means, and why most people get this wrong Immigration’s HUGE effect on unemployment and how it may be skewing the numbers The Fed’s tricky decision to make and whether rate cuts could help this situation And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 168 - How to Prepare for a Recession in 2024 Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Read More from Heather Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:06) Good Time to Get a Job? (04:50) Unemployment Rate Explained  (07:59) Who's Losing Their Job? (10:21) Recession "Yellow Flags" Emerge  (16:56) Immigration's Huge Effect  (21:05) Spending Still Going Strong? (24:16) The Fed's Rate Cut Plans Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-238 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A new nationwide rent control proposal could cap rent increases for any landlord with a certain amount of properties. But will it actually pass? How would landlords survive when rents can only marginally increase each year while expenses continue to see double-digit percentage price growth? We’re getting into this story and a few more hard-hitting housing market headlines on today’s episode! First, we’re talking about the new rent cap proposal coming straight from The White House. This could significantly affect anyone who owns a large real estate portfolio or plans to in the future. Is this proposal merely a grab for votes, or could it actually come to fruition? Next, great news for homebuyers, as mortgage rates fall once again, all while completed homes see a sizable boost. Is this a sign that a healthier housing market is to come? Why are international buyers fleeing the US housing market? Could this end up helping first-time homebuyers who have to fight off less competition? Finally, we talk about the twenty hottest housing markets that are seeing a BIG increase in home viewership. If you own a home in one of these markets, it might be time to consider selling. In This Episode We Cover The newest rent cap proposal that could stop landlords from raising rents higher than five percent each year Mortgage rates drop again, but are more rate cuts coming this year? Increased housing inventory and signs of a healthier housing market forming Why international homebuyers have had a significant pullback from the US housing market The hottest markets in America and whether homeowners here should consider selling And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Biden Proposes Rent Increase Limits, With Penalties for Landlords Who Don’t Listen White House Plan to Limit Rent Increases Nationwide Reignites Debate  Housing Market Gets Back-to-Back Good News  Here's why international buyers are pulling way back from the U.S. housing market  If You Live in One of These 20 Housing Markets, Consider Selling While It’s Still Hot Grab Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-237 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

For the past four years, everyone, and we mean everyone, has been doing some form of home improvement. All your friends are redoing their kitchens, your spouse keeps asking when you can renovate the bathrooms, and your best friend just built their dream home office with—don’t get too excited—recessed lighting. This was the home renovation boom of the decade, and now, we could be at the tail end of it. With home improvement spending starting to dip, interest rates keeping homeowners from big projects, and labor costs still sky-high, what happens when enough demand leaves the market? Do material prices fall as manufacturers try to lure homeowners back in? Will labor costs soften with contractors waiting for work? We brought on The Wall Street Journal’s Ryan Dezember to get some answers. In today’s show, we discuss the boom and bust of lumber prices, why home renovations are starting to stall, what impact this could have on materials, and whether or not the home improvement spree will pick back up as new construction starts decline. If you’re planning a home renovation, you'll want to hear this episode before you begin. In This Episode We Cover An update on the home renovation industry and why demand is shrinking  Labor costs and the factory-building boom that’s taking away all the contractors The surprisingly old age of most American homes and why so many renovations happened High interest rates and their effects on home improvement project spending Whether or not we’re already in the home renovation “slowdown” and what could happen next  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 514 - How Small Landlords Can Beat the Hedge Funds This Could Be the Year the Home-Improvement Boom Fizzles Out. Here's Why. Deck Maker’s $450 Million Bet on America’s Renovation Boom Grab “The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:36) The Home Renovation Boom (06:58) The Labor Shortage Explained  (10:51) Which Costs Are Rising the Most? (14:44) High Rates Curb Demand  (20:20) More Supply, Lower Prices?  (25:59) Home Renovation Predictions  Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-236 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Airbnb bans escalate, a “tsunami” could be coming for this real estate niche, and “sinking” cities lead to skyrocketing insurance prices. The housing market changes every week, so we’re here to break down the headlines and sift through the hype so you know what could impact YOU. Dave Meyer and the entire On the Market panel are here to discuss four of the top real estate-related news stories from this week. First, we discuss the commercial real estate credit crunch that could cause a “tsunami” in the office investing space. Next, one major European city will ban Airbnb by 2028 in an effort to give locals a better chance at buying their first home. Will it work, or is it just a move to get more votes? With the dust of the NAR settlement settling, homebuyers could face thousands in fees to work with an agent, but will this stop homebuying? Before we go over our last headline, make sure you’re standing on solid ground because “sinking” cities are becoming the new norm. Is your home slowly sliding off a cliff? If so, your insurance costs could be rising even higher. We’ll get into this story and the rest of the relevant real estate news on this episode! In This Episode We Cover A world without Airbnb and whether the newest ban could actually help homebuyers Another “tsunami” coming for real estate and whether there’s truth behind the hype Private equity’s new plan to gobble up even more real estate as one niche suffers More fees for homebuyers as agent commissions change, but will this have to be paid out of pocket? “Sinking” cities causing rising insurance costs and sliding home values And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 201 - Breaking: NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever The commercial real estate credit crunch: ‘There’s a tsunami coming’  What does a world without Airbnb look like?  First-Time Homebuyers Could Face Thousands in New Costs Following NAR Settlement  U.S. cities are sinking. Here’s what that means for homeowners Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:47) A “Tsunami” Coming? (12:47) The Airbnb Bans Begin  (21:22) New Fees for Homebuyers?  (28:20) Cities Are Sinking Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-235 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We might have just found the most under-the-radar real estate market of 2024. It’s got jobs, appreciation potential, and affordable homes, and it’s growing…fast! The best part? We’re not sure anyone has ever talked about this specific market, so we’re going to be the first. But you had better be fast; most investors might start looking up homes for sale in this market after this episode! Which market are we talking about, and why are we so excited? We’ll share all the details in today’s show! We’ve asked the entire On the Market panel to each bring “under-the-radar” real estate markets to share on today’s show. Many of these markets are small(er) towns but boast some HUGE investing benefits you won’t find in big cities or the already-hyped areas. From Midwest cash flow to Southern healthcare hotspots and one town that our panel gets VERY excited about, any of these markets could help you build wealth WITHOUT having to fight off competition from other buyers. If you’re still looking for an investing market, check out our new tool, Market Finder! Dave and his team designed this tool to help you easily identify your next market to invest in! Once you’ve found a market, check out properties with our Deal Finder tool! In This Episode We Cover Four of our favorite “under-the-radar” real estate markets nobody is talking about The TINY town that could see massive growth as one huge employer makes big moves The cash-flowing Midwest city with rock-bottom unemployment and strong rent growth AND appreciation The small town in Texas that Kathy personally picked for her new build-to-rent investments Why medium-term rentals and assisted living facilities could see BIG returns in this healthcare hotspot  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Find Your Next Investing Market with BiggerPockets Market Finder Get Your Next Deal Faster with BiggerPockets Deal Finder Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile 8 “Under the Radar” Housing Markets With Low Prices and High Cash Flow Buy Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:03) 1. Underrated Midwest Market  (09:33) 2. Small Town Texas Investing  (18:50) 3. Southern Healthcare Hotspot  (27:47) 4. Best Market Ever? (36:22) Our Favorite Markets Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-234   Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

See Dave, Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico! Grab your ticket here! The housing market is “stuck” and may stay that way for the next two years. With low inventory, high mortgage rates, stunted demand, and high rents, it seems like there’s nowhere to go. If you’re a homeowner, this could mean good news, as price stability keeps your property value high. But, if you’re looking to buy a home or work in a real estate-related industry, this isn’t what you want to hear. What happens after 2026, and what changes will come to the housing market over the next two years? We’re breaking it all down in today’s headlines show! First, we’re discussing why economists think the housing market will remain “stuck” until 2026 and what happens to housing prices along the way. Next, if you’re looking for deals, you’re in luck! We’re showcasing some of the “coldest” markets in the US that are seeing prices start to fall already. Is your home insurance bill killing your cash flow? We’re diving into a recent survey on the insurance “shock” hitting landlords and what investors MUST do now to account for rising prices. Speaking of rising prices, are rent prices crossing the affordability threshold for most renters? We’re getting into it all in this episode! In This Episode We Cover Why the housing market may stay “stuck” until 2026, and what happens after Home price appreciation predictions and whether we’ll continue to see values increase The “cold” real estate markets seeing price cuts and stagnant listings How new and experienced investors can prepare for the insurance “shocks” that keep coming Affordability updates and why rent prices may be peaking as tenants struggle to afford housing And So Much More! Links from the Show Grab Your Tickets to BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 218 - These “Subtle Risks” Could Have Astronomical Impacts on Real Estate Expenses w/John Sheffield The housing market is ‘stuck’ until at least 2026, Bank of America warns  Want To Snag a Real Estate Deal? These 20 ‘Cold’ Markets May Be a Buyer’s Best Shot at a Bargain  The home insurance shock hitting the housing market has landlords concerned, too Renters Must Earn $66,120 to Afford the Typical U.S. Apartment. The Typical Renter Makes $11,000 Less Than That. Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (03:51) Housing Market “Stuck” Until 2026 (13:59) Markets Seeing Price Cuts (19:49) Insurance “Shock” Hits Landlords  (25:41) The Rent is Too High! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-233  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The mortgage industry has just been through one of its biggest booms and busts, but some tech-first, cost-saving innovations could improve things for borrowers after this current cycle. During the low-interest rate environment, transactions were at record highs as borrowers rushed to refinance or buy homes at rock-bottom rates. But, once interest rates shot up, the volume stopped, and those in the mortgage industry saw their incomes plummet. Many had to raise prices to keep the lights on, making originating a mortgage even more expensive for borrowers. But things are changing—for the better. Faith Schwartz from Housing Finance Strategies is here to unveil some of the groundbreaking changes the mortgage industry is making and how it could make getting a mortgage more accessible and cheaper for first-time homebuyers and investors. Faith even shares some new loan products we didn’t know about, from mortgages that help low-money-down borrowers to products that allow access to equity without refinancing or using a HELOC (home equity line of credit). With mortgage origination costs around a whopping $13,000, Faith walks through the new technology that could dramatically reduce this high price for borrowers and lenders. Plus, an AI and high-tech push from the government could completely flip this often archaic system. If you invest in real estate, want to invest, or work in a real estate-related service, this will seriously impact you! In This Episode We Cover Tech-first solutions that could make originating mortgages cheaper and faster The massive boom and subsequent bust that led to today’s struggling mortgage industry  Why originating a loan is SO expensive, and the fees that could be eliminated in the future How the Federal government is creating new policies that help struggling buyers New loan products that can assist first-time homebuyers and those with untapped home equity And So Much More! Links from the Show Find a Lender Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram On The Market 220 - Top Lenders Share “Good News” for Mortgage Rates + Trending Investor Loans Connect with Faith on LinkedIn Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:39) The "Perfect Storm" Mortgage Industry  (06:45) Mortgage Businesses Going Under? (08:55) The True Cost of a Loan (12:49) Government-Fueled Innovation  (17:33) Saving Homeowners During the Pandemic  (23:04) Tech-First Mortgages Are Coming (25:54) New Loan Products to Know About Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-232  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Zillow’s latest housing market forecast shows a decline in home prices over the next year after a very slow spring homebuying season. While spring is traditionally the hottest time of the housing market, with more sellers and buyers hitting the market at once, this year was stunted significantly. Will this trend continue as housing inventory remains at rock-bottom levels, or are things gradually improving, with a return to normalcy in sight? We’ve got Dr. Skylar Olsen, Chief Economist at Zillow, on to share the latest forecast and which markets could be in trouble. With mortgage rates still hovering around seven percent, homebuyers and sellers are stuck. Sellers don’t want to trade into a more expensive mortgage payment, and buyers can’t afford today’s median home price. As a result, some under-the-radar, affordable real estate markets are seeing home and rent prices increase, while some traditionally hot markets are already seeing price corrections. Where will the next correction hit, and which markets will have the most opportunity for real estate investors? Skylar explains it all, plus why Zillow updated their recent home price forecast to show a DROP in home values over the next year. In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s updated housing market forecast and why they’re predicting prices to drop The spring homebuying season’s “extra slowdown” and why buying/selling is so stunted Skylar’s 2025 housing market and mortgage rate predictions What happens when mortgage rates get cut, and whether this could fire up the housing market again The real estate markets seeing the most price corrections, plus hot markets Zillow is keeping an eye on Markets with the strongest rent growth (for single-family AND multifamily investors) And So Much More! Links from the Show Find a Lender Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Episode Show Notes Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Start Investing with Dave’s Newest Book, "Start with Strategy" See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Property Manager Finder BiggerPockets Real Estate 959 - BiggerNews: 2024 Housing Market Update and Why Prices Are Still Rising Access Zillow’s Free Housing Data Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:41) Homebuying Sees “Extra Slowdown” (06:56) Homes Sitting Longer  (08:39) More Inventory On the Way? (13:42) Zillow Updates Forecast  (18:17) Markets Seeing Price Corrections  (21:35) Hot Markets  (23:00) Where Rents Are Growing  (27:10) Investors, Watch THIS (29:53) 2025 Predictions  Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-231 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

“Super cities” are seeing a massive comeback in demand—one that most investors thought was impossible. With work-from-home being scaled back by many major companies, returning to downtown is a no-brainer for high-paid employees. With more amenities than the suburbs, younger workers are being enticed back into the office. And who’s winning with all this boomeranging demand? You guessed it—office investors. We brought CBRE’s Richard Barkham back to give us the latest update on how cities and office investors are faring. Office investing has been heavily criticized over the past few years as vacancies exploded and tenant turnover became increasingly common. Office space was an easy target as remote work became the new norm. However, trends change, and Richard sees a massive investing opportunity in certain office space sectors. But which cities are worth investing in and around? What type of office investments are faring the best? And will we continue to see downtown demand rebound? We’ll get into it all in this episode of On the Market. Plus, stick around to hear Richard’s predictions on interest rate cuts, whether or not we’ll achieve a “soft landing,” and what investors must be looking at NOW to make significant gains over the next few years. In This Episode We Cover The cities seeing the biggest influx in demand and why Americans are moving back to downtown Why the “doom loop” scenario never came true, even though so many forecasters predicted it The one type of office investing that could see a massive surge in demand over the next two years Richard’s “number one investment strategy” of 2024-2025 that investors MUST look into How residential real estate investors can take advantage of the rising demand for downtown housing And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Property Manager Finder Hear Our Past Episodes with Richard: On the Market 141 - The “Doom Loop” That Could Crash Commercial Real Estate On the Market 179 - A “Year of Opportunity” to Come for Multifamily, Says CBRE’s Richard Barkham Read CBRE’s Latest Reports: Analysis of US Prime Office Buildings Shaping Tomorrow’s Cities Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:24) Cities See Returning Demand  (05:41) The "Doom Loop" Scenario  (07:16) Offices Are Filling Up Fast (11:24) #1 Investment Nobody is Thinking About (15:37) Investing In and Around Cities  (22:31) Rate Cuts and Economic Predictions  (26:06) Investors MUST Do This Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-230 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

When will housing prices drop? Will real estate prices go down, or are we stuck with ever-worsening affordability as home prices continue to rise? What’s the solution to affordable housing, and why can’t investors just build smaller, more affordable homes? Our panel of expert investors gets asked these questions all day, so in this episode, we’re taking the above questions and some others from the BiggerPockets Forums and throwing them at our seasoned investors to get their takes. First, we ask, “What would have to happen for home prices to drop?” Investor or first-time homebuyer, you’ve probably asked yourself this question. We’ll give an in-depth scenario of the exact supply and demand factors that could cause prices to finally fall. Next, how to create affordable housing and why investors might be the answer. With high home prices, is it better to buy and hold or flip houses in today’s market? Plus, the experts share exactly WHICH markets they see the most potential in today. Finally, you’ll get the pro flipper’s tips for comping properties in a market with barely any home sales. Do you have a question to ask the experts? Post it in the BiggerPockets Forums, and we may answer it on a future show!  In This Episode We Cover What would cause home prices to fall and affordability to improve (and if it’s likely) The investor-friendly solution for affordable housing that could help you build wealth while providing much-needed housing Flipping vs. renting and what will make you the most money in today’s market The rarely talked about real estate markets with immense potential that we’d invest in today How to comp (compare) properties when the market is changing and there are limited home sales And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's Instagram James' BiggerPockets Profile James' Instagram Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's Instagram Property Manager Finder See Henry, James, and Kathy at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Ask Your Question on the BiggerPockets Forums Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:43) Could Home Prices Fall? (07:43) How to Create Affordable Housing (16:50) Best Time to Flip Houses? (22:24) Where We’d Invest Today (31:51) James’ Rules for Comping  (34:02) Ask Your Question Here! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-229 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Downward pressure on rent prices is causing a “cascade” effect across all unit types. Whether you live in a luxury apartment or budget-friendly multifamily building on a busy street, you’ve probably seen asking rents lowering around you with apartment concession offers in many leasing offices. With multifamily supply hitting “peak completions,” apartment operators have had to tackle rising vacancy rates by lowering rents. But this trend could be reversing soon, just as things were getting more affordable for renters. Jay Parsons, rental housing economist, spends much of his day searching through rental data to find trends pointing to what could happen next. We’ve brought him on to understand why rents are dropping, where they could be heading, and what happens now that multifamily construction is starting to pause. Jay speaks on the rebounding rental demand that’s starting to show, why our “oversupply” of multifamily could quickly become a shortage, which apartment classes are seeing significant rent price discounts, and whether or not these problems could spill over into the single-family rental market. Plus, Jay gives his outlook for the next few years on whether or not rent growth will reaccelerate as multifamily construction starts fall significantly. In This Episode We Cover A rental demand update and why rent prices are getting more affordable What’s causing the recent demand rebound in the multifamily rental market? Why our multifamily “oversupply” could quickly vanish and create a new problem Growing demand for single-family rentals and why these investors may be in a better position When rent growth could reaccelerate and supply could shrink once again One growing risk multifamily investors must be aware of when choosing a market And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile  Dave's Instagram Property Manager Finder See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun! Rent Prices Are “Guaranteed” to Increase Over the Next Two Years—Here’s Why Connect with Jay: Follow Jay on LinkedIn Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:38) Rental Demand Rebounding?  (05:03) We're at "Peak Completions"  (07:52) What's Being Built? (12:14) Rent Cuts For All (18:09) Single-Family Rental Supply Shrinks  (21:04) Wage Growth Outpaces Rents (23:12) Is It Better to Rent? (26:19) Supply and Rent Predictions  (30:33) Big Regulatory Risks Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-228 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices