Rates & Barrels: A show about baseball

Eno and DVR discuss Sonny Gray's move to the NL Central to head up the Cardinals' rotation, Kenta Maeda's shift to Detroit, and a swap between the D-backs and Mariners that opens up a few different paths for Jerry DiPoto, while Arizona adds thump at the hot corner with Eugenio Suárez.  Rundown 6:05 Sonny Gray to St. Louis 13:13 Gray v. Hunter Greene in Early Drafts? 17:23 Kenta Maeda to Detroit 23:45 Opportunity for Rotation Competition in Minnesota? 29:47 M's-D-backs Trade 36:29 Choosing From an Oatmealy Corner-Infield Trio 39:30 Strikeout Park Factors 45:33 Why Do We Love Seattle's Pitchers? 48:45 A Question About Fastball Shape 56:50 Shota Imanaga: Making Sense of WBC Stuff+ Numbers; Outlook as SP 1:03:45 Chris Sale, Carlos Rodón and Low IP Projections Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/ratesbarrels Holiday Special through 11/27/23! Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Links from this Episode Alex Chamberlain's Pitch Leaderboard: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/chamb117/viz/PitchLeaderboardv5/Dashboard Check out this offer from our sponsor: Get 20% OFF with our code RATES at calderalab.com/RATES to unlock your youthful glow with Caldera + Lab! #teamcaldera Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss Aaron Nola's new deal to remain in Philadelphia, Lance Lynn's return to the Cardinals on a one-year pact, the posting of Yoshinobu Yamamoto ahead of his highly-anticipated foray into free agency, and the fallout from a non-tender deadline that led to a flurry of activity plus the potential end of Brandon Woodruff's time in Milwaukee.  Rundown 1:29 Aaron Nola Gets a New Seven-Year Deal to Stay in Philly 9:31 Lance Lynn (Back) to the Cardinals 13:43 Other Potential One-Year Deals for Free Agent Starting Pitchers 18:46 Reynaldo López: Stretching Out as Starter in Atlanta? 30:29 Yoshinobu Yamamoto: $200 Million Deal Coming? 39:22 Brandon Woodruff Non-Tendered by Brewers 43:05 Injured Pitchers to Target? 51:57 Other Movement Around the Non-Tender Deadline Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/ratesbarrels Holiday Special through 11/27/23! Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Check out this offer from our sponsor: Get 20% OFF with our code RATES at calderalab.com/RATES to unlock your youthful glow with Caldera + Lab! #teamcaldera Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno, DVR & The Welsh are LIVE from First Pitch Arizona discussing a few interesting ideas that bubbled up during the conference, how they are trying to build roster foundations in 2024, and potentially undervalued pitchers for the first leg of draft season. Plus, Kyle Manzardo of the Cleveland Guardians joins the show to discuss his approach, changes following his midseason trade to Cleveland, and his combination of contact and power as he's moved through the minors.  Finally, Eno, DVR & Welsh discuss the AFL Stuff+ Report and prospects that have stood out to Welsh in live looks this spring.  Rundown 5:28 Who Is the Best Pitcher in the World, Right Now? 9:32 Changes to Prioritizing Aces in 2024? 13:52 Looking at Total Pitches v. Innings Pitched 18:35 An Eno Board: Above Average Stuff, Below Average ERA in 2023 31:57 Kyle Manzardo Joins the Show! 56:37 Changing a Teams' Plans During the Spring 60:15 Arizona Fall League Stuff+ Report 66:57 Other Standout Prospects This Fall Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1.99/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss several disappointing hitters from the 2023 season with an eye toward their rebound potential and long-term outlook.  Rundown 4:17 Carlos Correa: Did Injuries Sap Overall Performance? 13:58 Daulton Varsho: Going Too Far with Pull-Heavy, Flyball Approach? 28:02 MJ Melendez: Is More Power on the Way? 32:47 Eloy Jiménez: Will He Hit Enough Without OF-Eligibility in Some Leagues? 39:04 Trevor Story: Optimism in Underlying Numbers Post-Injury? 47:32 Paul Goldschmidt: It's All Relative 54:01 Cedric Mullins: Is 2021 or 2022 Still in Reach? Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1.99/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Check this offer from our sponsor: Caldera Lab: Get 20% OFF with code RATES at calderalab.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss the upcoming World Series matchup between the Diamondbacks and Rangers, and how they drastically underestimated Adolis García when he broke through as a regular for Texas two years ago. Plus, they examine several hitters that were pleasant surprises in 2023 (and one disappointment thanks to lofty expectations).  Rundown 1:26 Assessing the D-backs-Rangers World Series Matchup 9:09 Brandon Pfaadt's Postseason Surge; 2024 Outlook 13:25 Why We Underestimated Adolis García 20:02 Chas McCormick's Breakout 27:17 Buying Lane Thomas' Career Year as Repeatable? 33:56 Spencer Steer's Future Outlook 41:57 Attempting to Make Sense of Cody Bellinger's Bounceback 48:03 Does Vlad Jr. Still Offer an Elite Ceiling? 56:40 Would You Rather Have Triston Casas than Vlad Jr.? (No....at least, probably not.) Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic at $1.99/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss the recent success of Jordan Montgomery and changes he's made since leaving the Yankees via trade in 2021, Aaron Nola v. Blake Snell as real-life free agents and for 2024 fantasy value, and several offseason injury updates including shoulder surgery for Brandon Woodruff and Kyle Wright, knee surgery for Byron Buxton, turf toe surgery for Jazz Chisholm Jr., and more.  Rundown 1:40 Jordan Montgomery 3.0 & Future Outlook 7:53 An Intriguing Market for Free Agent Pitchers Awaits 11:05 Clayton Kershaw's Health 13:08 Shoulder Capsule Surgery for Brandon Woodruff & Kyle Wright 18:40 Justin Verlander is a Top-___ Pitcher in 2024 24:29 Nathan Eovaldi's Postseason Success; Challenging Projection 29:34 Blake Snell v. Aaron Nola 41:25 'Sitting Slow': How the Astros Hit Sonny Gray? 44:31 Byron Buxton Undergoes Knee Surgery 52:05 Kim Ng Chooses to Part Ways with Marlins 58:36 Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Turf Toe Surgery; Chisholm v. Varsho in 2024? Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1.99/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh talk season winners, value risers, league offense numbers, elite average player totals and a little AFL talk around Jackson Jobe. Rundown Jackson Jobe - 6:14 Fantasy Awards - 13:23 Mailbag Question Jazz vs Chourio - 25:02 RP values from 2023 - 39:11 Super player averages - 44:22 Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Al wrap up the Friday edition of the show for 2023 by recommending a handful of streamers for the final weekend and reviewing the trends that made this season an interesting one from a fantasy perspective. Specifically, they look at how the regulation of shifts and increase in stolen bases affected the fantasy landscape, and they looked back on a busy season for prospect debuts. Rundown 1:06 The latest news 6:26 Streamers for the final weekend 11:04 The latest news, continued 20:06 Looking back at 2023: The rule changes 33:21 Looking back at 2023: The never-ending Prospect-Palooza 45:44 Some ERA risers and fallers 48:33 Final thoughts Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh talk final week hitters and pitchers to stream and the release of the Arizona Fall League rosters. Rundown Zac Gallen vs Blake Snell 2024 - 6:33 Blake Snell stuff - 8:11 Felix interviews Snell - 14:35 Pitchers for Tue-Thur - 19:09 Hitters to pick-up - 30:47 AFL Roster release - 35:04 Top AFL hitting prospects - 38:48 Colson Montgomery - 48:05 Top AFL pitching prospects - 52:21 Deeper AFL prospects to watch - 57:08 Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Al take their final look at weekly FAB, identifying players to target to help out in the season’s concluding week. They also discuss Max Fried’s move to the IL as well as Shane Bieber’s return and Sandy Alcantara’s timetable, and they talk about their expectations for Rays prospect Junior Caminero, who is set to make his major league debut. Rundown 1:24 IL comings and goings: Max Fried, Sandy Alcantara, Shane Bieber 12:42 The rest of the big news 20:47 How to approach the final FAB 24:14 Hitters to consider 37:41 Starters to target 45:03 Closer Corner Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh are talking Ohtani's injury, Snell's CY Young bid, streaming options Thur/Fri, prospects and more Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Al look into the fantasy viability of recent callups Heston Kjerstad and Pete Crow-Armstrong, and they identify several hitters who could and should still be added in 10- and 12-team leagues. They also prioritize which starting pitchers are worth adding for the stretch run and discuss the Cubs’, Rays’ and Cardinals’ bullpen situations. Rundown 1:00 Heston Kjerstad is the latest top prospect to debut 9:58 Pete Crow-Armstrong’s debut and other big news items 27:37 Other hitters to consider 36:42 Two-start pitchers and streamers 50:53 Closer corner Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh discuss the injury to Jasson Dominguez, Pete Crow-Armstrong's call to the majors, the Brewers almost 11-inning no-hitter, pitchers for the week and more. Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Al talk about what to expect from the latest prospect callups, Jordan Lawlar and Evan Carter, and consider the fallout from injuries to Sandy Alcantara and Jorge Soler. They also sort through a lengthy list of projected two-start pitchers and discuss some recent bullpen changes for the Marlins, Rays and Rockies. Rundown 1:17 Prospect-palooza continues with Jordan Lawlar, Evan Carter and Davis Daniel 10:54 The rest of the big news items 25:12 A few more hitters to consider 34:31 Two-start pitchers and streamers 49:26 Closer corner Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh discuss the posting of Shōta Imanaga, Clayton Kershaw worries, Altuve vs Jazz in 2024, a prospect to get now and more. Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and Welsh talk about what made this new Cole Ragans, who's next, Jasson Dominguez, Mason Miller and more on the season finale of Project Prospect. Rundown Success of under 6-foot pitchers - 4:42 Ohtani to hit and pitch in the future - 10:52 Julio Urias suspension - 17:30 How "THIS" Cole Ragans came to be - 22:16 Minor League development lacking - 29:08 Who is the next Cole Ragans? - 39:07 Mason Miller - 47:04 Dynasty: Ragans or M. Miller - 49:37 Royce Lewis and Jordan Walker - 51:05 Jasson Domginez - 54:08 Top Prospect Update - 58:10 Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

DVR and Al discuss where they are looking to add several prospects who have made or are about to make their major league debuts, including Jasson Dominguez, Austin Wells, Ceddanne Rafaela and Ronny Mauricio. They also look at how Lucas Giolito, Hunter Renfroe and Harrison Bader might fare with their new teams and sort out a thin week for pitching on the waiver wire. Rundown 1:22 Jasson Dominguez and a bevy of prospect debuts 18:02 The other news, including players waived by the Angels 27:21 Other hitters to consider 31:38 Pitching developments 39:43 Streamers and two start-pitchers 49:14 Closer corner Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss the group of players placed on waivers Tuesday -- including five members of the Angels -- and try to determine if there is a need to alter the timing of the Trade Deadline, or if a return to the 'waiver trade deadline' era is necessary. Plus, they discuss causes for the recent struggles of Lucas Giolito, Alex Cobb's brush with a no-hitter, and the potential for a final month rebound in the face of disappointing 2023 performances at the plate.  Rundown 1:25 The Angels Trade Deadline Additions Get Placed on Waivers 8:03 Is a Roster Rules Refresher Needed? 10:57 What's Causing Lucas Giolito's Recent Struggles? 17:45 Finding Viable Contributors Among Other Waived Players 32:50 Alex Cobb's Brush with a No-Hitter 40:48 Evaluating Potential September Rebounds (Hitters) 55:09 Join Us in Arizona for Baseball HQ's First Pitch Event in November! Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow R&B on Twitter: @ratesandbarrels e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Check out this offer from our sponsors: Give ZBiotics a try for yourself. Go to zbiotics.com/RATES to get 15% off your first order when you use RATES at checkout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

DVR and Welsh are looking at post-hype prospect bats to target that have exhausted their prospect eligibility, plus Ceddane Rafaela's outlook and more. Rundown Ceddane Rafaela - :57 Rafael vs P. Meadows - 5:17 Kyle Harrison - 7:09 Miguel Vargas - 13:46 Brett Baty - 21:45 Pete Alonso potential trade - 27:23 Matt Mervis - 29:30 Henry Davis - 34:56 Estevan Florial - 38:05 Easier in Triple-A? - 46:40 Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic for just $1/mo for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Check out this offer from our sponsors: Give ZBiotics a try for yourself. Go to zbiotics.com/RATES to get 15% off your first order when you use RATES at checkout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Eno and DVR discuss several increasingly important pitchers for the stretch run of the 2023 fantasy baseball season -- including Cole Ragans, whose increased velocity and new slider have put him on the fast-track to a place among the league's Top 40 Starting Pitchers.  Rundown 0:43 The Rapid Emergence of Cole Ragans 10:04 Any Changes for Aaron Civale in Tampa Bay? 15:09 Cristopher Sánchez's Arrival in Philly 18:02 Seth Lugo's Renaissance with the Padres 27:28 Zach Eflin and Escaping The Glob 29:57 Kodai Senga's Improved Second-Half Walk Rate 35:58 Brandon Williamson: Lower Walk Rate in MLB than Double-A and Triple-A? 42:38 Adbert Alzolay's Move Toward the Circle of Trust 45:45 A Longer List of Reliable Closers Looking Toward 2024? 55:10 Tyler Wells' Shift to the Bullpen in the Minors Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper Follow R&B on Twitter: @ratesandbarrels e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Subscribe to The Athletic at $1/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Check out this offer from our sponsors: Give ZBiotics a try for yourself. Go to zbiotics.com/RATES to get 15% off your first order when you use RATES at checkout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices