RiskReversal Pod

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas from SoFi discuss the impact of recent Federal Reserve decisions on the market. They analyze the Fed's dovish rate cuts and the implications of its plans to buy $40 billion in treasuries. The conversation shifts to the underperformance of Bitcoin despite expectations for a boost from the Fed's liquidity actions. They explore broader market trends, including the recent Empire Manufacturing Survey's dismal results, and upcoming significant economic data releases such as the unemployment rate and CPI numbers. The episode concludes with insights into the potential future of the AI revolution and its market implications for 2026. Timecodes 0:00 - Fed Speak & BTC 6:15 - Data Talk 13:20 - Jobs/Inflation 19:00 - AI Revolution —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan and guest Peter Boockvar, CIO at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, speak with Louis Vincent-Gave, CEO and founder of Gavekal, to discuss the evolving economic competition between the US and China. They explore the impact of past trade embargos, particularly the 2018 semiconductor embargo, and China's response which led to significant industrial advancements. The conversation touches on the implications for global markets, US companies, and the strategic shifts in industrial policy. They also delve into the potential outcomes of continued US-China rivalry, including the growing importance of AI technology, state capitalism, and the future role of the US and China in global trade. The episode highlights the complexities and potential shifts in economic power dynamics and the strategic responses required on both sides. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Xxx —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Jim Lanzone (CEO of Yahoo, former CEO of Tinder & CBS Interactive) joins Dan Nathan to pull back the curtain on one of the most fascinating turnaround stories in tech history. With 90% reach across the US internet and profitability that would make most public companies jealous, Jim explains why Yahoo is quietly dominating while the world isn't looking. They discuss the "original sin" deal in 2000 where Yahoo accidentally helped build the Google monopoly, the similarities between the Dot Com crash and today’s AI boom, and the exact playbook Apollo is using to revitalize the brand for a potential IPO. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss various market developments as the year-end approaches. They focus on the bond market's reaction to anticipated rate cuts and the possible implications of rising treasury yields. The conversation also touches on concerns about the U.S. government deficit, liquidity issues, currency volatility, and the upcoming change in Fed leadership. They analyze potential economic data impacts, such as PPI, Jolts, and retail spending figures. The discussion expands to the rising activity in mergers and acquisitions, the performance of consumer staples versus consumer discretionary stocks, and the global trends in yield movements. Finally, they explore the outlook for gold, healthcare, and biotech sectors for 2026, along with potential market rotations and valuations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Stephanie Guild, CIO at Robinhood, on the RiskReversal podcast. The discussion spans various financial topics, including Federal Reserve policies, market trends, and projections for the S&P 500. Stephanie offers insights into the potential for a Santa Claus rally, the valuation of tech stocks, and the impact of consumer behavior on the market. They also explore the effects of AI spending and the sustainability of company valuations like Nvidia and Google. The conversation touches on credit market signals, the role of small businesses, and the significance of investor behavior observed through Robinhood's customer base. They conclude with thoughts on the interplay of government policies and market stability, particularly highlighting the implications of intertwined Federal Reserve and Treasury actions. Show Notes Microsoft Lowers Sales Staff’s Growth Targets For Newer AI Software (The Information) -- FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Portfolio Strategy at Piper Sandler. The discussion delves into Kantrowitz's HOPE framework, which stands for Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment, and its relevance in the current economic climate. They discuss the nuanced macroeconomic indicators and the impact of inflation, interest rates, and employment on the economy and market forecasts. Kantrowitz emphasizes the importance of analyzing specific economic data points and the K-shaped economy. The conversation also touches on home equity, credit spreads, consumer confidence, manufacturing, and the potential implications of AI on the labor market. Kantrowitz presents a cautiously optimistic view of the economic landscape for 2026, predicting improved conditions in cyclical sectors despite ongoing uncertainties. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan speaks with Alex Sherman, co-founder and CEO of Bluefish, about the transformative impact of AI on e-commerce and marketing. They discuss how Bluefish aids large brands in gaining visibility and influence over how major AI platforms portray their products. The conversation covers the rapid evolution of AI technology, challenges for e-commerce giants like Amazon and Walmart, and the shift from traditional SEO to AI-driven marketing. Alex shares insights on how AI is changing consumer behavior, the adaptation required by brands, and the influence of large language models on market performance. They also touch on future challenges and opportunities for brands navigating this new landscape. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami hosts Liz Thomas of SoFi, discussing various topics including the current performance of the Green Bay Packers, Japan's economic situation, and its potential global impact. They delve into Japan's rising bond yields, appreciating yen, and how these factors could influence global markets, particularly the US bond and equity markets. Elizabeth explains the potential implications for US investors and highlights interconnected financial systems. They also examine cryptocurrency behavior, consumer sentiment, small-cap stocks performance, and the importance of upcoming economic data. The episode concludes with a discussion on Elizabeth's upcoming mid-December outlook report with Mario. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Danny Moses to discuss various market trends and investment strategies. The discussion spans topics such as AI's impact on the market, the performance of key sectors like healthcare, energy, and technology, and the challenges posed by economic indicators and geopolitical factors. They delve into the volatility and potential reshuffling within 'The Magnificent Seven' tech stocks and the implications for the broader market. The episode also highlights the private credit market's sketchy valuations, the Federal Reserve's position on potential rate cuts, and the dynamics within the cryptocurrencies market, including Bitcoin and its associated treasury companies. Finally, they touch on their favorite NFL picks for the week's slate. Show Notes On The Tape Feed (Apple | YouTube) WAWD (Substack) Comparing The Top AI Chips: Nvidia GPUs, Google TPUs, AWS Trainium (YouTube) Google Further Encroaches on Nvidia’s Turf With New AI Chip Push (The Information) OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates (FT) Private Credit’s Sketchy Marks Get Warning Shot From Wall Street’s Top Cop (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas from SoFi discuss various financial market trends leading into Thanksgiving week. They also touch on the Packers football game which will be played at 1 pm ET on Thursday. They talk about the recent rally in the S&P 500, attributing it to possible Fed rate cuts and positive job numbers. Liz highlights the Fed's stance on unemployment and its implications for future rate decisions. The conversation also covers the CPI, GDP data, consumer spending, and signs of economic stress like rising delinquency rates. They discuss sector-specific trends, focusing on healthcare and energy markets, and explore the potential impact of geopolitical events on big cap pharma stocks. Additionally, they touch upon the dynamics of the yen carry trade, the significance of Bitcoin movements, and oil prices' role in economic forecasts. The episode concludes with Thanksgiving well-wishes and reflections on their collaboration and friendship. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

On this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends and significant movements, focusing on AI stocks like Nvidia and their earnings impacts. They delve into the consumer landscape through the lens of major retailers like Walmart and the overall health of the consumer amidst rising delinquency rates. The conversation extends to macroeconomic indicators, including the CME Fed Watch tool and rate cut expectations, as well as insights from industry leaders like Harvey Schwartz of the Carlyle Group. The hosts also explore the implications for companies like Oracle, Intel, and Dell in the current economic climate. Show Notes Checkout Wilf's Podcast —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital. They discuss a range of topics including market volatility, AI investment trends, consumer spending patterns, and economic forecasts. Calvasina highlights the increasing nervousness among investors regarding high valuations and the potential impact of delayed Fed rate cuts. She notes the importance of monitoring CapEx and regulatory changes, especially as they pertain to AI and tech sectors. The conversation touches on geopolitical dynamics with China and the upcoming US midterm elections, emphasizing their potential market implications. The session is rich with insights into the current market climate, investor sentiment, and future economic expectations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Help Support CME Group's Charitable Efforts By Donating To St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Terry Duffy, CEO and Chairman of CME Group, at the CME Group Tour Championship in Naples, Florida. They discuss a range of topics including Bitcoin, gold, equities, and market correlations, offering insights into the current financial landscape. The conversation highlights the role of CME’s initiatives in retail trading, emphasizing the company's efforts in prediction markets and partnerships with platforms like Robinhood and FanDuel. Other key points include the evolution of market structure, the significance of the ten-year bond, and the increasing relevance of gold and crypto assets. Additionally, Duffy reflects on his leadership style, institutional trust, and future challenges and opportunities in finance. Terry's Story on SBF —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss a range of topics including recent Japanese economic trends, the impact of a potential Japanese stimulus on global equities, and the weakening yen. They examine the relationships between various market indicators and their departures from expected norms. They touch on the volatility index and interpret recent movements in the stock market. Other key points include the influence of mortgage rates and housing affordability on the economy, the potential effects of upcoming non-farm payroll reports, and PMI services/manufacturing indices. The podcast also digs into consumer sentiment and Bitcoin's decoupling from gold and its strong correlation with Nasdaq. Additionally, Elizabeth shares insights about her conversation with Jenny Harrington on her own podcast, focusing on dividend investing and personal finance stories. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this RiskReversal podcast episode, Guy Adami and Peter Boockvar discuss recent market trends, including the shifts in AI dominance and financial stresses at Oracle. They analyze the stock market's reaction to Meta's spending and the implications for data center build-outs. The conversation covers the competitive landscape with AI and the potential overrates in hardware infrastructure. They also discuss the unusual dynamics in the US economy and the job market's deceleration, touching on Bitcoin's correlation with other assets. Finally, they explore the bullish outlook on energy stocks and the rebound in big-cap pharma amid regulatory clarity. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan sit down with Jenny Just and Matt Hulsizer of PEAK6 at the Ascend Innovation Summit in Austin, Texas. The discussion explores their backgrounds in options trading at O'Connor and Associates, the evolution of retail trading, and the significance of democratizing finance. The conversation also touches on the role of technology in trading, the importance of culture in maintaining business integrity, and how PEAK6 leverages these elements in various ventures, including Apex Fintech Solutions. Additionally, the episode features a segment with Bill Capuzzi, CEO of Apex, who discusses the impact of fintech innovations and the convergence of traditional and decentralized finance. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Gene Munster discuss upcoming earnings for Nvidia and the recent trends in the technology and AI domain for major companies including SoftBank's sell-off of Nvidia shares. They also wrap up Q3 earnings for the 'Mag Seven' tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, and Apple. They address key points about Microsoft's Azure growth, Meta's controversial spending on AI, Amazon's financials amidst AWS growth, Google's AI-driven search improvements, and Apple's forthcoming AI developments. The market's recent shift favoring AI-related stocks and the debate over Amazon's strategic investments without their own AI models are also covered. They conclude by emphasizing the significant role of Nvidia's next report and its effect on AI market sentiment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, CNBC's Tech Check host, delve into key topics around AI technology and investments. They discuss the growing influence of Chinese open-source AI models and compare US and Chinese AI CapEx spending, drawing on insights from a Bloomberg tweet thread. The conversation highlights China's commoditization strategy in AI and its implications for US-China tech competition. They also scrutinize tech companies like Core Weave, Meta, and AMD, examining their financial strategies, AI ambitions, and market performance. The challenges of power constraints, valuation concerns, and investor sentiment shifts in the AI and tech sectors are thoroughly explored. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami is joined by Liz Thomas from SoFi to discuss the potential end of the government shutdown and its market implications. They explore how the market is reacting positively despite the shutdown's minimal sell-off impact. The discussion also covers the possibility of missing economic data due to the shutdown and its consequences on the market and Federal Reserve decisions. The duo debates the Federal Reserve's December rate cut outlook, inflation concerns, and the labor market's current state. They also touch on seasonality effects, gold and Bitcoin market movements, and anticipated year-end market behaviors. Liz hints at her upcoming 2026 outlook, focusing on growing tail risks in the market. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media