RiskReversal Pod

Dan Nathan hosts portfolio manager Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management. They discuss Dan's January prediction to prioritize cash over high-growth stocks, given the market's volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty. The conversation covers critical topics like policy uncertainty, inflation, and market valuations, and the impact of AI investments. They also delve into specific company performances, such as Tesla's market challenges and the evolving landscape for major tech firms like Google, Meta, and Apple. Through this discussion, Dan Niles emphasizes the importance of understanding fundamentals and the risks of investing in overvalued stocks. The episode concludes with reflections on historical market patterns and their implications for current investment strategies. Timecodes 0:00 - 2025 Thus Far 8:00 - TSLA & Futurists 18:45 - GOOGL 23:00 - META 28:00 - AAPL & The State of AI Follow Dan Niles on Twitter: https://x.com/danieltniles — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy is joined by Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to discuss Federal Reserve policies and their impacts on the U.S. eco nomy. The conversation starts with the current political tension surrounding Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and the administration's frustrations with him. Danielle highlights her disappointment with the Fed's handling of the economy, citing missed revenue targets as an indicator of pre-existing economic stress before the ongoing trade war. The discussion explores the inefficacy of tariffs, the complex dynamics of ten-year yields, and the significant issues of rising bankruptcy rates. Danielle also touches on the shifting trends in the bond and gold markets, the currency exchange rate crisis, and the increasing importance of liquidity in financial markets. With a call for stronger leadership and a critique of current economic policies, this episode offers a thorough analysis of the broader economic landscape and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan hosts Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They discuss the frustrating state of the stock market, focusing on issues such as tariffs, trade wars, and economic fundamentals. Gene shares a personal anecdote about market prediction challenges and reflects on the economic outlook amid geopolitical tensions. They delve into the performance of major stocks, including Tesla and Google, and explore the impact of AI and search technologies on Google's business model. The episode also touches on Nvidia's challenges due to export bans and the pressure on tech stocks. Dan and Gene provide an in-depth analysis of market conditions and future projections, emphasizing the importance of both short-term awareness and long-term optimism. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan and Guy highlight significant market movements, including declines in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, a volatile VIX, the crashing U.S. dollar, surging Bitcoin prices, and record-breaking gold values. A central theme of the conversation is the potential ramifications if President Trump were to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, including effects on the dollar, bond yields, and stock markets. They also explore the broader impacts of trade wars, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the role of confidence in economic stability. The episode wraps up with insights into upcoming economic indicators and their potential market implications. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Anastasia Amoroso, Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, discuss the current state of the markets and the impact of persistent volatility. They cover the effects of rising tariffs, shifting Fed policies, and how investors can navigate uncertainty by balancing defensive positions with long-term opportunities. Anastasia shares insights on sector resilience, the outlook for banks, and the evolving role of trade deals in shaping market sentiment. They also explore the future of U.S. manufacturing, the labor market, and the global shift in supply chains. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Jeff Richards of Notable Capital joins Dan Nathan to break down today’s market volatility, the impact of trade policy and tech sector uncertainty, and how private company founders are navigating this choppy environment. They discuss why AI and small business tech are long-term growth areas, the challenges facing IPOs and M&A, and why much of today’s innovation is happening in private markets. Richards highlights cybersecurity and alternative asset managers as strong sectors, and predicts a bumpy 2025 but major long-term opportunities as AI adoption accelerates. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of "RiskReversal Pod," Dan Nathan sits down with Josh Wolfe, founder and managing director at Lux Capital. The discussion delves into the current state of venture capital, macroeconomic forces, and the impact of rising interest rates on private and public markets. Wolfe shares insights on the generative AI landscape, the dynamics between large tech companies and startups, and the valuation discrepancies between private and public markets. The conversation also explores the psychology of investing, the importance of proprietary data in the AI era, and the evolving role of leadership and narrative in business and politics. The episode blends market analysis, personal anecdotes, and broader reflections on human nature and decision-making in finance and technology — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Special discount for Fast Money Live! Go to FastMoneyLive.CNBC.com and use the promo code FM25. We hope to see you there! In this episode of the Risk Reversal podcast, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, to discuss a range of timely financial and economic topics. They begin by reflecting on Cameron's market outlook for 2025, noting how high valuations and investor optimism have left little room for error, and how recent market volatility may signal a shift toward a more downward trend. The conversation covers the risks of multiple compression, the cyclical nature of major tech stocks, and the challenges of interpreting economic data—especially as soft data weakens and the potential impact of tariffs looms. They analyze the effects of recent and proposed tariffs, debating their purposes (negotiation, manufacturing reorientation, or revenue generation) and their likely consequences for growth, inflation, and consumers. The discussion also delves into the volatility in bond and currency markets, concerns about foreign holders of U.S. debt, and the implications of central bank gold buying. The hosts consider the Federal Reserve’s policy options in the face of stagflation and political pressures and speculate on the risks to Fed independence. Finally, they explore sector strategies for navigating volatility, the importance of a long-term investment perspective, and the potential for both defensive and high-beta stocks to play a role in portfolios during uncertain times. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into the latest market-moving developments, including bond market volatility, the impact of tariff uncertainties, and the implications for global trade and investor confidence. They analyze the Federal Reserve's role, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and how these trends could signal broader economic risks. The discussion also covers key earnings reports from major banks and tech companies, as well as the potential ripple effects on consumer spending and corporate strategies. Tune in for a comprehensive breakdown of what to watch in the markets this week. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan is joined by Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology Research at Wedbush Securities, to discuss the current state of the tech sector and broader market dynamics. The podcast covers a range of topics including the impact of tariffs on the U.S. tech industry, the potential long-term effects on supply chains, and the implications for major tech companies like Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, and Tesla. Dan Ives shares his concerns about the structural damage to the tech sector and provides insight into his revised earnings estimates for these companies. The conversation also touches on the resilience of certain stocks, the anticipated performance of hyperscalers, and the broader economic challenges posed by current U.S. policies. Despite the market volatility, both Dans emphasize the importance of staying well-informed and managing investment strategies carefully during uncertain times. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan is joined by Peter Boockvar, CIO at Bleakly Advisors, to discuss the market's response to recent tariff announcements by the president. They talk about bond market volatility, earnings estimates, and the reaction from risk assets like crude oil, gold, and the U.S. dollar. Peter provides an in-depth analysis of the tariffs on steel, aluminum, and auto imports, and the temporary 90-day respite on reciprocal tariffs excluding China. The discussion also covers potential long-term impacts on trade relations, market fragility, and the shift in global economic dynamics, especially concerning China. They emphasize the market's underlying issues preceding the tariffs and question the sustainability of the current rally given ongoing economic uncertainties. After the break, Guy Adami and Peter explore the dramatic shifts in bond yields, the complexities of the current economic situation, and the implications of tariffs on global trade. Peter breaks down the traditional treasury trades, the impact of international relations on US treasuries, and the potential market reactions to various economic policies. The discussion also covers the weakening dollar, de-leveraging in the market, and the potential for a slowdown in the economy. They emphasize the importance of a disciplined approach to market analysis amidst unprecedented market movements and political maneuvers. Articles Referenced List of largest daily changes in the S&P 500 Index (Wikipedia) Trump Watched Dimon Interview on Fox Before Deciding on Tariff Pause (WSJ) — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into recent market dynamics, focusing on the fluctuating US Treasury yields, the impact of the US-China trade war on the stock and bond markets, and corporate earnings reports. They discuss Walmart's and Delta's recent announcements, the economic implications of increasing tariffs, and the role of confidence in financial markets. The conversation highlights the bond market's significance over the stock market and touches on the future of US debt management. Additionally, they explore the influence of political decisions on economic policy and market performance. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan welcomes Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management to the RiskReversal Podcast. They discuss the recent significant market drops in the S&P and Nasdaq, considering if these drops could be termed a 'market crash'. Gene shares his views on the volatile market, especially in light of increasing tariffs between the U.S. and China. They analyze the performance and future of several major stocks, including Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Tesla, and Nvidia, touching on AI's influence and the broader economic impacts of the trade war. Gene offers insights into stock valuations and the potential for further declines, highlighting the importance of investor psychology and market reactions to ongoing geopolitical developments. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are live for a special RiskReversal Podcast as U.S. markets open on Monday, April 7th. Articles Referenced Trump tariffs based on massive error, conservative think tank says (Axios) Boaz Weinstein Fears Market ‘Avalanche’ Stoking Bankruptcies (Bloomberg) — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, and Porter Collins discuss the current state of the stock market in this special edition of the Risk Reversal Podcast. The episode focuses on Thursday's market downturn, with the S&P 500 down 4.8%, the NASDAQ down 5.4%, and a significant increase in the VIX. The panel delves into the implications of unexpected tariff announcements, the uncertainty facing companies like Nike, and the broader economic impact. They also touch on potential sectors to invest in, the effects on consumer behavior, and the future of major tech companies amid these turbulent times. Through a mix of analysis and spirited debate, the hosts provide insights into navigating the current economic landscape. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan is joined by Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, to examine the impact of recent market movements, institutional money, and the evolving economic landscape under the current administration. They delve into the specifics of the stock market downturn, the implications of recent tariffs, and the potential for recession. Josh shares his approach to tactical shifts, the importance of a rules-based strategy, and how his firm is managing client portfolios through volatility. The conversation also touches on the resilience of various market sectors, the challenges of globalization, and the long-term outlook for investors. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, the CNBC host of Tech Check, discuss the evolution of the AI sector on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They examine the transition from AI foundation models to 'rappers' and now to AI native applications. Deirdre elaborates on the booming private market for AI app companies in contrast to the stalling public markets. The conversation highlights companies like Any Sphere’s Cursor and examines the differing cost structures and monetization strategies between AI infrastructure firms and app-based companies. They also touch on the dynamics of AI in the Chinese market, the potential for strategic mergers and acquisitions, and the missed opportunities by tech giants like Apple. The episode concludes with a focus on the emerging concept of 'vibe coding,' where AI handles the technical coding while developers focus on higher-level design and functionality. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and special guest Danny Moses discuss the significant market volatility of the first quarter of 2025 and its implications. They delve into topics such as deregulation, tariffs, and their impact on the U.S. and European stock markets. The conversation also covers the potential for stagflation, the importance of upcoming job reports, and the rising delinquency rates in various credit sectors. They touch upon the political dynamics between the private sector and government, including Mark Zuckerberg's attempts to influence U.S. policies. Additionally, they examine the semiconductor industry's performance and the strategic moves by companies like Nvidia and SoftBank. The episode wraps up with a look at Tesla's volatile stock performance and its polarizing influence on investors. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the current state of the stock market, including significant movements in the VIX, treasury yields, and the recent CoreWeave IPO. The conversation covers the impact of tariffs, the upcoming jobs report, and the broader economic implications. They delve into detailed analysis of market trends, the performance of leading stocks like Nvidia, and the influence of geopolitical actions on financial markets. The pod also previews upcoming earnings reports, investor sentiment, and critical guidance expected from major companies like JP Morgan. Additionally, they discuss Elon Musk's financial comments and their potential repercussions on Tesla's stock. The episode provides a comprehensive look at the factors influencing market volatility and economic stability. Further Reading Harley-Davidson Wants Payback if Europe Targets Its Bikes (WSJ) Musk Says DOGE Role Is Costing Him as Tesla Shares Slump (Yahoo) — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets. The discussion covers a wide range of topics, including Belski's bullish outlook on the S&P 500, with a price target of 6,700. They delve into the dynamics of the secular bull market, cyclical trends, and the path to normalcy in market returns. Belski shares his views on the impact of geopolitical events, trade tariffs, and sector-specific performances, particularly in technology and financials. The conversation also touches on consumer sentiment, the role of AI, and the implications of monetary policy on market behavior. Belski emphasizes the importance of a diversified investment strategy and the potential opportunities in small and mid-cap banks. The episode provides a comprehensive overview of current market conditions, offering valuable insights for investors navigating these uncertain times. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media