2025 NL West Team Previews

2025 NL West Team Previews

Update: 2025-02-11
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This podcast episode provides in-depth previews of all five NL West teams (Dodgers, Padres, Diamondbacks, Giants, Rockies) for the 2025 season, leveraging advanced baseball analytics like Pecota, BatX, and UPSY projections. The analysis considers each team's offseason moves, potential for further trades (especially the Padres), and key players' injury risks. Individual player spotlights include Corbin Carroll's breakout potential for the Diamondbacks, and the Giants' pitching depth. The Rockies' challenges and potential breakout players are also discussed, acknowledging the impact of Coors Field. The latter half of the podcast focuses on identifying fantasy baseball sleeper picks, highlighting promising starting pitchers (Bird Song, Dustin May) and relief pitchers (Camilo Doval, Jason Adams, Justin Martinez). A deep sleeper hitter, Girard Connassion, is also discussed, contingent on his signing and playing time. The discussion frequently references advanced metrics like Stuff+ and whiff rate to support player evaluations.

Outlines

00:01:14
NL West Team Previews: Dodgers, Padres, Diamondbacks

A comprehensive analysis of the Dodgers, Padres, and Diamondbacks, examining their offseason moves, injury concerns, and potential for further trades. Key players like Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks) are highlighted, along with assessments of each team's overall strength and weaknesses.

00:44:05
NL West Team Previews: Giants, Rockies

This section analyzes the Giants and Rockies, focusing on the Giants' pitching depth and the Rockies' challenges and potential breakout players (Nolan Jones, Seth Halverson). The impact of Coors Field on player performance is also discussed.

01:07:25
NL West Sleeper Starting & Relief Pitchers

This segment identifies sleeper starting pitchers (Bird Song, Dustin May) and relief pitchers (Camilo Doval, Jason Adams, Justin Martinez) in the NL West, using metrics like Stuff+ and whiff rate to justify the selections.

01:09:43
NL West Deep Sleeper Hitter Discussion

The podcast discusses Girard Connassion as a very deep sleeper hitter, dependent on securing a contract and sufficient playing time. His potential for high batting average and home runs is emphasized.

Keywords

NL West


The National League West division in Major League Baseball, the focus of this podcast episode.

Fantasy Baseball Sleepers


Undervalued players in fantasy baseball drafts with high potential for exceeding expectations.

Pecota Projections


Baseball Prospectus's projection system, predicting player statistics and team win totals.

BatX


A baseball analytics system used for hitter projections.

UPSY


A baseball analytics system used for pitcher projections.

Injury Risk


The likelihood of a player suffering an injury impacting their performance.

Sleeper Pick


A player projected to perform significantly better than their current draft position suggests.

Stuff+


A baseball statistic measuring a pitcher's stuff quality.

Whiff Rate


The percentage of pitches resulting in a swing and a miss.

Closer


The relief pitcher who typically pitches the ninth inning.

Q&A

  • Are the Los Angeles Dodgers better than last year's World Series-winning team?

    On paper, yes, but concerns exist regarding their age and increased injury risk.

  • What are the San Diego Padres' chances of making a significant trade before opening day?

    It's considered likely, but timing constraints might limit the scope.

  • What is Corbin Carroll's potential for the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2025?

    High; he's projected for a high number of plate appearances and shows potential for 30-30 (home runs and stolen bases) and even MVP-level performance if he stays healthy.

  • What is the biggest strength of the San Francisco Giants?

    Their starting pitching depth.

  • Are the Colorado Rockies a 55-win team as projected by Pecota?

    No, that projection is considered too low; FanGraphs' projection of 65 wins is deemed more realistic.

  • Who are some top sleeper starting pitcher options in the NL West for fantasy baseball?

    Bird Song and Dustin May.

  • Which relief pitchers are considered sleepers in the NL West?

    Camilo Doval, Jason Adams, and Justin Martinez.

  • Are there any deep sleeper hitters worth considering?

    Girard Connassion is a possibility, depending on his contract and playing time.

Show Notes

Eno and DVR begin their 2025 Team Preview series in the National League West! How much have the Dodgers improved following their World Series title in 2024? Do the Padres need another late winter trade to keep pace with the other NL playoff teams? Will the D-backs find their way back to October after a busy offseason? Can the Giants exceed expectations in Year 1 of the Buster Posey Era? And, are the Rockies better than some of the projections suggest?


Rundown

1:55 2025 Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

17:15 2025 San Diego Padres Preview

29:54 2025 Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

43:31 2025 San Francisco Giants Preview

56:51 2025 Colorado Rockies Preview

1:07:08 A Selection of Sleepers From the NL West


Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social

Follow DVR on Bluesky: @dvr.bsky.social

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com


Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe

Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels


Note: Win Total Projections for the episode are from Baseball Prospectus' PECTOA system at the time of the recording. Support BP -- they do great work!Current PECOTA Projections: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/


Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris

Producer Brian Smith

Executive Producer: Derek VanRiper

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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2025 NL West Team Previews

2025 NL West Team Previews

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