Inside Tips to Predict the 2025 Oscar Winners
Digest
Amy Polar's "Good Hang" podcast kicks off with Oscar buzz, focusing on predictions and betting odds for the 2025 Academy Awards. The hosts delve into the Best Picture race, with "Anora" as the frontrunner but acknowledging potential upsets from "Conclave" and "The Brutalist." They analyze Best Actor (Brody vs. Chalamet), Best Actress (Moore vs. Madison, with a potential upset from Torres), and supporting categories, incorporating insights from precursor awards and industry chatter. Michael Lasker offers expert commentary based on his knowledge of the awards season. The Amelia Perez Twitter controversy significantly impacts the Best International Film category, creating uncertainty between "Amelia Perez" and "I'm Still Here." The discussion also touches upon the evolving significance of the Oscars in Hollywood, considering their influence on actors' careers and the impact of shifting film release strategies on box office success and award chances. The podcast concludes by emphasizing the unpredictable nature of the Oscars and the entertainment value of the ceremony itself.
Outlines

Oscar Predictions and the Impact of Industry Trends
This episode of the "Good Hang" podcast covers Oscar predictions for 2025, focusing on key races like Best Picture ("Anora" as favorite, potential upsets), Best Actor, Best Actress, and supporting categories. The hosts analyze betting odds and consider the influence of precursor awards, the Amelia Perez controversy, and changing film release strategies on the outcomes.

Analyzing Key Oscar Races and Potential Upsets
A detailed breakdown of the Best Actor (Brody vs. Chalamet) and Best Supporting Actor races, highlighting frontrunners and potential upsets. The impact of the Amelia Perez controversy on the Best International Film category ("Amelia Perez" vs. "I'm Still Here") is also discussed.

The Oscars' Enduring Influence and the Future of Film
The podcast concludes by discussing the lasting impact of the Oscars on actors' careers and the film industry, acknowledging the evolving landscape of film distribution and its effect on award considerations and box office success.
Keywords
Anora
Frontrunner for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars, facing competition from "Conclave" and "The Brutalist."
Oscar Betting Odds
Analysis of betting odds from sites like Fanduel and Calche for various Oscar categories.
Amelia Perez Controversy
Twitter scandal impacting Best International Film predictions, highlighting the influence of public perception.
Precursor Awards
SAG Awards, DGA Awards, and PGA Awards as indicators of potential Oscar winners.
Film Release Strategies
How changing release strategies affect box office success and Oscar chances.
Best Picture Predictions
Analysis of the top contenders for Best Picture at the 2025 Academy Awards.
Best Actor Predictions
Discussion of the leading contenders for Best Actor, including potential upsets.
Best Actress Predictions
Discussion of the leading contenders for Best Actress, including potential upsets.
Oscar Impact
The lasting influence of the Oscars on actors' careers and the film industry.
International Film Predictions
Analysis of the Best International Film category, including the impact of the Amelia Perez controversy.
Q&A
Who is the favorite to win Best Picture, and are there any potential upsets?
"Anora" is the favorite, but "Conclave" and "The Brutalist" are strong contenders. The outcome depends on various factors.
How does the Amelia Perez controversy affect Oscar predictions?
The controversy significantly impacts the Best International Film category, creating uncertainty and potentially shifting the odds.
What is the significance of the Oscars in the film industry today?
Oscars remain highly influential, impacting actors' careers, deals, and future projects. Changing release strategies are affecting their box office success and Oscar chances.
What are some key races to watch for potential upsets?
Best Actress, Best International Film, and Supporting Actor.
What is Michael Lasker's overall prediction for the Oscars?
Lasker leans towards "Anora" winning Best Picture and several other categories, but acknowledges the possibility of upsets.
Show Notes
Matt is joined by Mosaic talent manager and Oscar enthusiast Michael Lasker to parse through the award season chatter and find a gambling edge on the Academy Awards. Matt and Michael discuss the wide-open races in the top categories—including Best Picture—as well as how many Oscars ‘Emilia Perez’ might win following Karla Sofía Gascón’s Twitter controversy, Adrien Brody vs. Timothée Chalamet, and the potential upset chances for Fernanda Torres and Jeremy Strong (02:32 ).
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Email us your thoughts! thetown@spotify.com
Host: Matt Belloni
Guest: Michael Lasker
Producers: Craig Horlbeck and Jessie Lopez
Theme Song: Devon Renaldo
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