Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Friday.

📉 Fading Mitch Keller: Keller has a 5.75 ERA against Cincinnati in his career and has allowed 3 ER in each start post-All-Star break.

🎯 Brewers as Best Bet: Brandon Woodruff has 37 K and 4 BB in 28.1 IP with a 0.64 WHIP, and the Brewers are undefeated in his 6 starts this season.

🔼 Astros Momentum: Hunter Brown is back in form with 12 IP, 2 ER in last two outings. Yankees' reliance on home runs a liability.

🚀 Mariners Undervalued: Seattle at home with Luis Castillo is priced cheaply against a travel-weary Rays team, with Drew Rasmussen likely limited.

🔥 Guardians Surging: Cleveland swept the Mets and is climbing in the AL Central. Tanner Bibee is a concern, but Aaron Civale is in great form.

🧨 Rangers Underdog Value: Merrill Kelly is a strong underdog play vs. Phillies; Texas is 10-2 at home since the All-Star break.

🔒 Twins Depend on Joe Ryan: Joe Ryan is 7-0, 1.30 ERA in 9 starts vs. KC. Royals pitcher Seth Lugo has 8 BB in last 2 starts.

🧮 Over in Arizona: Rockies’ Gomber and Diamondbacks’ Gallen create a perfect storm for hitting; game total over 9 is attractive.

💰 Fade the Dodgers: Dodgers always overpriced; Jays’ offense is rolling, and Scherzer's recent form is solid.

💥 Nick Pivetta Dominance: At home, Pivetta is 7-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 12 starts, making the Padres a strong play.

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  Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh [2:45 –6:23 ]
  
  Griffin leans Reds at -103, citing Chase Burns’ high ceiling and Keller’s 5.75 ERA vs. CIN. Munaf notes the Pirates’ offense is inconsistent and backs the Reds ML.

  
  


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  Astros vs Yankees [6:24 –10:11 ]
  
  Both skeptical of Cam Schlittler’s polish. Hunter Brown’s rebound form (12 IP, 2 ER) is encouraging. Yankees’ offense is reliant on HRs. Both favor Astros ML.

  
  


• 
  

  A’s vs Orioles [10:12 –14:09 ]
  
  Both skeptical of JT Ginn’s consistency. Orioles’ young core still dangerous. Orioles’ home performance (5–2 post-ASB) leans Munaf to take the home team.

  
  


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  Angels vs Tigers [14:10 –17:03 ]
  
  Griffin calls -312 for DET “ridiculous.” Skubal’s Cy Young season isn't duplicating; Hendricks has quietly been solid. Both like the under (7.5 or F5 under 4).

  
  


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  Marlins vs Braves [17:04 –21:23 ]
  
  Cabrera’s 1 ER in each of last 3 starts vs Elder’s 6.54 ERA at home makes MIA appealing. Both back the Marlins ML and expect runs.

  
  


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  Guardians vs White Sox [21:24 –24:46 ]
  
  Guardians are hot, but Aaron Civale has 3 straight shutouts. Munaf notes CHW are 7–2 SU at home on Fridays. Recommends White Sox 1H ML.

  
  


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  Phillies vs Rangers [24:47 –28:10 ]
  
  Munaf emphasizes Rangers’ 10–2 home record post-ASB. Kelly a great dog. Both favor under 7.5 and like TEX ML at +116.

  
  


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  Mets vs Brewers [28:11 –31:15 ]
  
  Woodruff has a 0.64 WHIP and Brewers are 6–0 in his starts. Senga giving up 4 ER in 2 of last 3. Both hammer Brewers ML (Munaf’s Best Bet).

  
  


• 
  

  Royals vs Twins [31:25 –35:14 ]
  
  Joe Ryan’s domination of KC (1.30 ERA in 9 starts) vs. Lugo’s wildness (8 BB in 2 games). Munaf likes Twins ML and F5 under.

  
  


• 
  

  Rays vs Mariners [46:39 –50:15 ]
  
  Mariners -125 is Griffin’s Best Bet. Seattle plays well at home, and Rasmussen’s limited innings vs. a playoff-hunting SEA team makes M’s the play.

  
  

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