DiscoverThe Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFLOffseason Buy or Sell: The NFL's Middle Class
Offseason Buy or Sell: The NFL's Middle Class

Offseason Buy or Sell: The NFL's Middle Class

Update: 2025-05-131
Share

Digest

This podcast episode provides in-depth analysis of the off-season moves of several "middle class" NFL teams, evaluating their free agency signings, draft picks, and coaching changes. The Indianapolis Colts' offseason is dissected, focusing on the uncertainty surrounding quarterback Anthony Richardson and the controversial signing of Daniel Jones. The Jacksonville Jaguars' improvements, particularly their offensive line upgrades and the impact of Travis Etienne, are examined. The Dallas Cowboys' offseason is analyzed, considering the impact of Brian Schottenheimer as the new offensive coordinator. The Seattle Seahawks' retooling process after trading Geno Smith and their strategy around Sam Darnold is discussed. The Atlanta Falcons' risky, all-in approach to winning their division is evaluated, along with the pressure on Desmond Ridder. The Arizona Cardinals' high-risk, high-reward strategy with high-upside draft picks is examined. The Chicago Bears' aggressive investments in improving their offensive and defensive lines are analyzed. Finally, the Miami Dolphins' offseason is assessed, highlighting their limited resources and questionable draft decisions. The podcast concludes with a summary of the Cardinals, Bears, and Dolphins' off-season moves, offering varying levels of optimism for their upcoming seasons. Common themes include the importance of offensive line improvements and the uncertainty surrounding several teams' quarterback situations.

Outlines

00:01:17
Indianapolis Colts & Jacksonville Jaguars Offseason Analysis

Analysis of the Indianapolis Colts' offseason, focusing on Anthony Richardson and the Daniel Jones signing, and the Jacksonville Jaguars' offseason, highlighting Travis Etienne and offensive line improvements. Both teams' strategies are evaluated as "buy" or "sell" signals for the upcoming season.

00:24:35
Dallas Cowboys & Seattle Seahawks Offseason Assessment

Discussion of the Dallas Cowboys' offseason, including the impact of Brian Schottenheimer, and the Seattle Seahawks' retooling process after trading Geno Smith and focusing on Sam Darnold. Both teams' strategies are evaluated.

00:45:13
Atlanta Falcons, Arizona Cardinals & Chicago Bears Offseason Strategies

Analysis of the Atlanta Falcons' risky strategy to win their division, the Arizona Cardinals' high-risk, high-reward approach, and the Chicago Bears' aggressive investments in their offensive and defensive lines.

01:16:25
Miami Dolphins Offseason & Overall Team Summary

Evaluation of the Miami Dolphins' offseason, highlighting their limited resources and questionable decisions, followed by a summary of the Cardinals, Bears, and Dolphins' off-season moves and varying levels of optimism for their upcoming seasons.

01:25:59
Common Themes in Middle-Class NFL Team Offseasons

Discussion of common themes among the analyzed teams, including the focus on offensive line improvements and the uncertainty surrounding quarterback positions.

Keywords

Anthony Richardson


Indianapolis Colts quarterback; rookie season performance; high potential but significant uncertainty; impact of Daniel Jones signing as backup.

Travis Etienne


Jacksonville Jaguars running back; high draft pick; impact on team's offensive strategy; potential for explosive plays.

Brian Schottenheimer


New Dallas Cowboys offensive coordinator; impact on team's offensive scheme; potential for improvement or stagnation.

Sam Darnold


Seattle Seahawks quarterback; replacing Geno Smith; potential for success in a new offensive system; comparison to Geno Smith's performance.

Desmond Ridder


Atlanta Falcons quarterback; entering a crucial season; pressure to win the division; impact of offseason moves on his success.

High-Upside Draft Picks


Players selected in the NFL draft with significant potential but also considerable risk due to injury history or inexperience.

Offensive Line Restructuring


Multiple teams focused on improving their offensive lines through free agency and the draft; impact on team success and quarterback performance.

NFL Offseason Analysis


Evaluation of NFL teams' free agency signings and draft picks; determining whether moves indicate a "buy" or "sell" on the team's prospects for the upcoming season.

Coaching Change


The replacement of a team's head coach, often impacting team strategy, player morale, and overall performance. A significant factor in off-season analysis.

Q&A

  • What was the most controversial move made by any of the teams discussed, and why?

    The Indianapolis Colts' signing of Daniel Jones as a backup quarterback was highly debated due to the significant financial commitment and implied lack of confidence in Anthony Richardson.

  • Which team's offseason strategy was most successful, and why?

    The Jacksonville Jaguars' offseason is arguably the most successful due to their focused improvements to the offensive line and strategic additions through free agency and the draft.

  • What common themes emerged in the analysis of these "middle class" teams?

    Many teams prioritized improving their offensive lines and there was significant uncertainty at the quarterback position for several teams.

  • What were the biggest risks taken by any of the teams?

    Several teams took risks by drafting high-upside players with injury concerns, making significant financial commitments to unproven players, or adopting an all-in approach with high risk and reward.

  • What were the overall opinions on the Cardinals, Bears, and Dolphins' off-season moves?

    The Cardinals' moves were largely positive, the Bears' changes were viewed favorably, and the Dolphins' moves were less certain.

  • What criteria were used to evaluate the teams' off-season performance?

    The evaluation considered coaching changes, player acquisitions, and the overall perceived improvement in team capabilities, looking for a clear strategic direction.

Show Notes

The next step up the Offseason Buy or Sell ladder takes us to the NFL's middle class. These are teams that oddsmakers project to be right around .500. In other words, these teams harbor realistic playoff aspirations, but there's path for all of them that leads to picking in the top 10 of the 2026 draft. This group includes the Colts, Jaguars, Cowboys, Seahawks, Falcons, Cardinals, Bears and Dolphins. Robert Mays and Derrik Klassen make buy or sell calls on each of their offseasons on this episode of The Athletic Football Show.


Rundown

  • Colts
  • Jaguars
  • Cowboys
  • Seahawks
  • Falcons
  • Cardinals
  • Bears
  • Dolphins


Host: Robert Mays

Co-Host: Derrik Klassen

Executive Producer: Michael Beller

Producer: Michael Beller

Subscribe to The Athletic Football Show...

⁠Apple⁠

⁠Spotify⁠

⁠YouTube⁠

Follow Robert on Bluesky: @robertmays.bsky.social

Follow Derrik on Bluesky: @qbklass.bsky.social

Follow Robert on X: @robertmays

Follow Derrik on X: @QBKlass

Theme song: Haunted

Written by Dylan Slocum, Trevor Dietrich, Ruben Duarte, Kyle McAulay, and Meredith VanWoert / Performed by Spanish Love Songs

Courtesy of Pure Noise / By arrangement with Bank Robber Music, LLC


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Comments 
00:00
00:00
x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

Offseason Buy or Sell: The NFL's Middle Class

Offseason Buy or Sell: The NFL's Middle Class