SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 10 and preview Monday Night Football Eagles at Packers.
Straight Outta Vegas AM Weekend Rewind: Sleepy J filled in for Munaf Manji with Mackenzie Rivers to recap NFL Week 10 and preview Monday Night Football. They opened with MVP talk: Drake May’s Patriots are rolling, his odds now 3-1 with three winnable games ahead; Sleepy argued that even if he posts modest stats, continued wins will push him near even money, so bet him now. Mackenzie agreed, noting MVP favorites often fall after one loss and the Patriots’ schedule and QB narrative keep May in pole position. Discussion shifted to Survivor pools—Sleepy liked the Panthers and Bills setups that both backfired; Mackenzie stressed survival over cleverness, saying the Broncos were safer than Carolina. They moved to upgrades: Patriots and Seahawks each +1 point, legitimate conference contenders; then Mackenzie’s top-five teams: Rams, Chiefs, Bills, Seahawks, Packers, while Sleepy leaned Eagles #1 as defending champs pacing themselves. Downgrades centered on Arizona after a 28-0 blowout; both debated Denver vs Buffalo with Mackenzie downgrading the Bills more, citing Josh Allen’s slump. They discussed market reactions: short-term line moves aren’t knee-jerk but reflect meaningful data in small NFL samples. On coaching hot seats, Mike McDaniel’s win over the Bills cooled pressure, while Cardinals coach Jonathan Gannon looked doomed amid poor locker-room support and Kyler Murray uncertainty. Turning to Monday Night Football—Eagles at Packers, line GB -1, total 45½—Mackenzie favored Green Bay as a buy-low home team versus an overrated Eagles squad ranking mid-league in EPA and PFF metrics. Sleepy countered that Philly remains the better, deeper, rested team and likely to reassert itself as title form returns; despite Green Bay’s rush defense, missing WR Reed limits their attack. Mackenzie’s “pizza bet” best play was Packers +1, expecting hunger after a loss and a flat Philly favored -3000 in the NFC East. Sleepy’s best bet was a prop: Dallas Goddard over 32.5 yards. Rationale—Packers’ elite rush D forces Hurts to throw; Goddard is his go-to safety blanket, and Green Bay ranks near bottom defending tight ends. Sleepy projected 5–7 catches and about double the posted yardage. Mackenzie endorsed that prop, noting edges lie more in player markets than tight game lines. They agreed the matchup should be tight, around 23-20, decided late, making props the sharper angle. Closing banter covered Mackenzie’s dormant X account and upcoming Instagram picks, joking about his social-media withdrawals. They reminded listeners to follow @sleepyJ and @MackenzieRivers, check pregame.com, and wished everyone good luck.

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