DiscoverCountdown with Keith OlbermannBONUS BULLETIN: FIRST POST-CONVICTION POLLS SPELL DISASTER FOR TRUMP - 6.1.24
BONUS BULLETIN: FIRST POST-CONVICTION POLLS SPELL DISASTER FOR TRUMP - 6.1.24

BONUS BULLETIN: FIRST POST-CONVICTION POLLS SPELL DISASTER FOR TRUMP - 6.1.24

Update: 2024-06-014
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This episode of Countdown with Keith Ulmeran discusses the potential impact of Donald Trump's conviction on 34 felony charges in New York on his 2024 presidential campaign. The episode highlights two significant polls: one by Ipsos for Reuters and another by Morning Consult. The Reuters poll found that 10% of registered Republican voters are now less likely to vote for Trump, while 15% of Republicans believe he should drop out of the race. The Morning Consult poll found that 49% of independent voters and 15% of Republicans believe Trump should drop out. The episode also discusses the "Teflon Don effect" and how Trump has historically weathered scandals. However, the episode concludes that the recent polling data suggests that Trump's conviction may have a significant impact on his campaign, particularly among independent voters.

Outlines

00:00:00
Introduction

This Chapter introduces the topic of the podcast episode, which is the potential impact of Donald Trump's conviction on 34 felony charges in New York on his 2024 presidential campaign.

00:01:33
Polling Data and Potential Impact

This Chapter discusses the results of two significant polls conducted after Trump's conviction. The polls suggest that Trump's conviction has negatively impacted his support among Republican voters, with some indicating they are less likely to vote for him or that he should drop out of the presidential race.

00:08:34
Recap and Conclusion

This Chapter recaps the key findings of the episode, emphasizing the potential impact of Trump's conviction on his 2024 presidential campaign. The episode concludes by encouraging listeners to share the podcast with others and to tune in for the next full-length episode for further analysis.

Keywords

Donald Trump
Donald John Trump is an American politician, media personality, and businessman who served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021. He was born and raised in the New York City borough of Queens and received an economics degree from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Trump took charge of his family's real-estate business in 1971, renamed it The Trump Organization, and expanded its operations from Queens and Brooklyn into Manhattan. The company built or renovated skyscrapers, hotels, casinos, and golf courses. Trump later started various side ventures, mostly by licensing his name. Trump and his businesses have been involved in more than 4,000 state and federal legal actions, including six bankruptcies. Trump entered the 2016 presidential race as a Republican and defeated 16 other candidates in the primaries. His political positions have been described as populist, protectionist, isolationist, and nationalist. He won the general election against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, despite losing the popular vote. Trump's presidency was marked by controversy, including his policies on immigration, trade, and foreign policy. He was impeached by the House of Representatives in 2019 for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, but was acquitted by the Senate. He was impeached again in 2021 for inciting the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, but was again acquitted by the Senate. Trump's presidency was also marked by the COVID-19 pandemic, which he initially downplayed. He was criticized for his handling of the pandemic, which led to a significant number of deaths in the United States. Trump lost the 2020 presidential election to Democratic nominee Joe Biden. He has continued to make false claims about the election being stolen from him, and has hinted at a possible run for president in 2024.

Presidential Election
A presidential election is an election in which the voters of a country or region elect their head of state, who is typically called the president. Presidential elections are held in many countries around the world, including the United States, France, Brazil, and Mexico. The process of holding a presidential election varies from country to country, but generally involves the following steps: 1. Nomination: Candidates for president are nominated by political parties or by independent groups. 2. Campaigning: Candidates campaign for votes by holding rallies, giving speeches, and appearing in the media. 3. Voting: On election day, voters cast their ballots for the candidate of their choice. 4. Counting: Votes are counted and the winner is declared. The winner of a presidential election typically serves a fixed term of office, which can range from four to seven years. The president is responsible for leading the country, appointing government officials, and carrying out the laws passed by the legislature. Presidential elections are often seen as a major event in a country's political life, and can have a significant impact on the country's future.

Felony Charges
Felony charges are serious criminal offenses that can result in significant penalties, including imprisonment for more than one year. Felonies are typically classified into different degrees, with first-degree felonies being the most serious and fourth-degree felonies being the least serious. Examples of felony charges include murder, rape, robbery, arson, and drug trafficking. The specific penalties for felony charges vary depending on the jurisdiction and the specific crime committed. However, common penalties include imprisonment, fines, and probation. Felony convictions can also have a significant impact on a person's life, including making it difficult to find employment, obtain housing, or vote.

Polling Data
Polling data is information gathered from surveys of a sample of people to gauge public opinion on a particular issue or topic. Polling data is often used by politicians, businesses, and other organizations to understand public sentiment and to make informed decisions. Polling data is typically collected through telephone surveys, online surveys, or in-person interviews. The accuracy of polling data depends on a number of factors, including the size and representativeness of the sample, the wording of the survey questions, and the response rate. Polling data can be a valuable tool for understanding public opinion, but it is important to interpret it with caution and to consider the limitations of the data.

Republican Party
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. It is generally considered to be center-right on the political spectrum. The Republican Party's platform is based on American conservatism, which emphasizes individual liberty, limited government, free markets, and a strong national defense. The Republican Party has been in power at the national level for much of the past century, and has controlled the presidency for 28 of the past 40 years. The Republican Party is currently the majority party in the House of Representatives, but is the minority party in the Senate. The Republican Party is a diverse coalition of voters, including business owners, farmers, social conservatives, and fiscal conservatives. The Republican Party's platform has evolved over time, but it has consistently emphasized the importance of individual liberty, limited government, and free markets.

Q&A

  • What is the potential impact of Donald Trump's conviction on his 2024 presidential campaign?

    Recent polls suggest that Trump's conviction may have a negative impact on his campaign, particularly among independent voters. Some Republican voters have indicated they are less likely to vote for him or that he should drop out of the race.

  • What are the key findings of the polls discussed in the episode?

    The Reuters poll found that 10% of registered Republican voters are now less likely to vote for Trump, while 15% of Republicans believe he should drop out of the race. The Morning Consult poll found that 49% of independent voters and 15% of Republicans believe Trump should drop out.

  • What is the "Teflon Don effect"?

    The "Teflon Don effect" refers to Trump's ability to weather scandals and maintain his support among his base. However, the episode suggests that the recent polling data may indicate that the "Teflon Don effect" may be waning.

  • What are the next steps in the Trump legal saga?

    The episode mentions that there are three remaining trials against Trump, and that 60% of registered voters believe these trials should take place before the election.

Show Notes

SERIES 2 EPISODE 186: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN


There are early signs of a potential tidal wave of disastrous polling indicators for Convicted Felon Donald Trump after he was found guilty of all 34 felony charges Thursday here in New York; 10% of registered GOP voters say they are now less likely to vote for him. More startlingly; 8% of those identifying as Trump supporters and 15% of registered GOP voters say he should drop out of the presidential race


These are from separate polls, by Ipsos for Reuters, and by Morning Consult.


Remember - based on Trump's 2020 vote totals - each percentage point of voters who peel away from him, would cost Trump roughly 750,000 votes and two to three electoral college votes.


Just as importantly, the Biden Campaign seems to have switched strategies and is itself referring to Trump as "Convicted Felon Donald Trump."


(This is a Bonus Bite-Sized Bulletin edition of Countdown. It's a new briefer format - eight minutes - that will appear in addition to regular episodes - and because of that I'm going to ask you to do me a favor and FORWARD it to somebody who is unaware of it, or unfamiliar with the Podcast. Thanks)

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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BONUS BULLETIN: FIRST POST-CONVICTION POLLS SPELL DISASTER FOR TRUMP - 6.1.24

BONUS BULLETIN: FIRST POST-CONVICTION POLLS SPELL DISASTER FOR TRUMP - 6.1.24

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