Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for Wednesday. The guys preview the 5 biggest games and give out best bets.

The podcast boasts a 65% win rate on best bets (17-9 record), with both hosts discussing five key matchups, statistics, and betting strategies.

Game Analysis & Best Bets

1. Alabama at Mississippi State (3:30 - 7:05 )

• Mississippi State is a one-point favorite. Total set at 166.


• Key analysis:


• 
  Alabama is coming off strong wins against Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and LSU.


• 
  Mississippi State plays a more controlled tempo (77th in offensive possession length, 176th in tempo).


• 
  Big East Ben’s play: Under 166 total points. Mississippi State will slow the pace and force Alabama into contested threes.


• 
  Griffin Warner's play: Mississippi State -1 due to their depth and physicality.

2. Wisconsin at Maryland (7:07 - 12:07 )

• Maryland is favored by 4 points. Total at 154.


• Key analysis:


• 
  Wisconsin excels at getting to the foul line (85% free-throw shooting, best in the country).


• 
  Maryland ranks 32nd nationally in avoiding fouls, making it difficult for Wisconsin to exploit this strength.


• 
  Both analysts agree: Maryland -4.


• Griffin Warner also leans under 154, citing Maryland's defensive pressure.

3. Xavier at Creighton (12:09 - 16:11 )

• Creighton is favored by 6 points. Total at 142.


• Key analysis:


• Xavier is relying on 3-pointers (38% shooting), but Creighton is elite at limiting foul shots and running teams off the 3-point line.


• 
  Creighton has won five straight, but the schedule hasn’t been difficult.


• 
  Big East Ben’s play: Creighton -6 because of their defensive ability.


• 
  Griffin Warner agrees: Creighton -6, noting Xavier might struggle in Omaha.

4. St. Mary’s at Santa Clara (16:13 - 21:55 )

• St. Mary’s is a 4-point favorite. Total at 139.5.


• Key analysis:


• 
  Santa Clara has strong wins over Gonzaga and Washington State.


• 
  St. Mary’s is 8-0 in conference play but hasn’t faced tough competition yet.


• 
  Both analysts favor Santa Clara:


• 
  Big East Ben: Santa Clara +4, citing their defensive size to disrupt St. Mary’s.


• 
  Griffin Warner agrees, arguing St. Mary’s hasn’t been tested.

5. Texas at Mississippi (Ole Miss) (21:57 - 31:04 )

• Ole Miss is favored by 6.5 points. Total at 140.5.


• Key analysis:


• 
  Texas is coming off a dramatic comeback win over Texas A&M but looked shaky throughout.


• 
  Ole Miss has lost three straight and is in desperation mode.


• 
  Big East Ben’s play: Under 140.5 due to strong Ole Miss defense.


• 
  Griffin Warner’s play: Ole Miss -6.5, noting Chris Beard’s revenge angle after being fired by Texas.

Best Bets Recap

1. 
   Big East Ben’s Best Bet (31:07 - 32:07 ):

• West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston


• WVU thrives at home against top-ranked teams.

1. 
   Griffin Warner’s Best Bet (32:07 - 33:18 ):

• Furman +1 vs. Samford


• Furman’s new arena, shooting ability, and home-court advantage give them the edge.

Final Thoughts

• The hosts emphasize sticking to betting principles and avoiding recency bias.


• A promo code "KEY30" is offered for discounts on betting packages.


• 
  Next podcast episode: A deep dive into Saturday’s college basketball slate.

Key Takeaways

🏀 Alabama vs. Mississippi State:

Mississippi State's defense will slow Alabama, leading to an under play (166 total points).

🏀 Wisconsin vs. Maryland:

Maryland’s home advantage and discipline will be the difference (-4 pick).

🏀 Xavier vs. Creighton:

Creighton’s defense on the perimeter makes them the right pick at -6.

🏀 St. Mary’s vs. Santa Clara:

Santa Clara’s underrated defense and home edge justify a bet on +4.

🏀 Texas vs. Ole Miss:

Ole Miss’ strong defense and Texas' recent struggles lead to an under play (140.5 total points).

🔥 Best Bets:

✅ West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston (Big East Ben)

✅ Furman +1 vs. Samford (Griffin Warner)

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