Fearing the Fade: Starting Pitcher Regression Candidates
Description
Eno, Trevor, and DVR discuss a lengthy absence of Pablo López following a Grade 2 teres major strain, and wonder if Chase Burns' arrival in Cincinnati might come earlier than expected with Hunter Greene's return to the IL. Plus, they dig into the regression cases of several starting pitchers -- including the always puzzling Andrew Abbott, Kris Bubic, Casey Mize, and several others.
Rundown
0:42 Pablo Lopez: Out 8-12 Weeks
6:18 An Opportunity for David Festa
8:03 Hunter Greene Goes Back on the IL
11:50 Another Attempt to Understand Andrew Abbott's Success
19:29 2025 ERA v. Rest-of-Season Projections (OOPSY/ppERA)
25:43 Nathan Eovaldi's Tendency to Lose Velocity In Season
32:10 The Best Version of Casey Mize We've Seen?
41:02 Tyler Mahle's Low K% Will Become a Problem
44:14 Should You Worry About Jacob deGrom's Last Two Starts?
48:30 Checking In on the Drag on the Baseball
54:58 How Would Dynamic Daily Park Factors Impact Your Game Plan?
Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social
Follow DVR on Bluesky: @dvr.bsky.social
Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe
Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris
With: Trevor May
Producer: Brian Smith
Executive Producer: Derek VanRiper
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
United States
