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Grading the Extensions; Season Predictions

Grading the Extensions; Season Predictions

Update: 2025-10-221
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Hollinger & Duncan sift the rookie-scale extension rush—what looks smart vs. risky—and then dive into 2025’s biggest questions: true title equity, matchup landmines, awards races, hot-seat candidates, and which front offices set themselves up best.

0:30 — The extension wave under a rising cap: what looks smart vs. risky

1:00 — Keegan Murray pricing: two-way wing scarcity vs. limited upside

5:54 — Christian Braun and Denver’s apron math: role value vs. replaceability

12:00 — Dyson Daniels: age/size/defense bet and why a flat $25M structure matters

13:45 — Shaedon Sharpe: lock in upside now or gamble on RFA?

16:19 — Toumani Camara: converting a team option now vs. preserving flexibility later

23:18 — Aaron Nesmith: playoff proof-of-concept and Indy’s shorter 2/40 approach

24:39 — Why some wings/guards didn’t extend: the “wait-and-see” tier (Mathurin, Ivey, Eason)

27:26 — Jalen Duren: cap-hold strategy, center comps, and Detroit’s options

28:34 — Next summer’s center market: Kessler/Williams and the post-incentive era

29:12 — Framing the 2025 race: contenders, matchups, ceilings (no picks)

29:28 — East storylines: regular-season juggernauts vs. playoff-built teams; health variables

33:28 — West storylines: OKC’s rise, the Warriors’ matchup swing, and who actually has a ceiling

35:03 — The true title-equity bucket—and who’s one in-season move away

39:18 — MVP shape: the eligibility gauntlet, top tier, and the U.S. vs. international tilt

43:44 — Hot-seat watch: contexts around Doug Christie, Willie Green, Darko Rajaković, others

46:17 — Sixth Man: role volatility, eligibility traps, and what voters really reward

47:17 — Most Improved: high-ceiling leaps vs. low-baseline pop candidates

51:17 — Defensive Player of the Year: the unicorn case vs. voter fragmentation

51:42 — Executive of the Year narratives: asset plays, cap gymnastics, timing

53:29 — Why 2024–25 on-court styles will be especially diverse and fun


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Grading the Extensions; Season Predictions

Grading the Extensions; Season Predictions

John Hollinger and Nate Duncan