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Open Championship Picks and Predictions

Open Championship Picks and Predictions

Update: 2025-07-16
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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush
-Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open
-4 matchups
-2 t10's
-2 futures outrights, 1 outright added
-Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups
-Scoring, best bet
For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59


🏌️‍♂️ Chris Gotterup’s rise: Won Scottish Open after going into the final round tied with Rory McIlroy; 2-under front and back on final day despite being put on the clock.


🌦️ Weather forecast: Wind gusts up to 25mph Thursday; mild rest of the week with possible showers—advantageous for accurate drivers and strong iron players.


📊 Rory McIlroy’s readiness: Opened at 8-1; sharper than 2019; recent finishes of 19th (U.S. Open), 6th (Travelers), and 2nd (Scottish) show peak form.


🧠 DeChambeau a fade: Lacks adaptability for windy, changing conditions and fescue greens; poor performance history across the pond.


🏅 Adam Scott analysis: Opened 80-1; gained strokes off the tee and with irons last week; even par on moving day cost him a top finish.


💥 Top matchups: Picks include Fleetwood, Hovland, and Schauffele over DeChambeau; Sink over Zach Johnson based on recent senior tour performance.


📈 Statistical sleepers: Christopher Reitan for top 20 (6-1) with positive strokes gained across tee and greens; Matt Fitzpatrick and Russell Henley picked for top 10.


Xander Schauffele: Opened 28-1; 68 straight cuts made; sharp driving accuracy and irons, slightly off on putting lately.


💸 Best bet: Anton Rosner to finish top Frenchman at 3-1; consistently outperforming other French golfers in the field.


🧩 Rory added as outright: Based on recent performance surge and favorable conditions, Doctor adds him as a single outright bet at 8-1.








  • (0:140:45 ) Will Doctor opens with high energy, introducing Week 29 of PGA season, featuring the final major: the 153rd Open Championship at Royal Portrush.




  • (0:462:00 ) Weather outlook: Mild to moderate wind; rain Thursday morning and possibly over the weekend; favorable for experienced links players.




  • (2:0110:20 ) Chris Gotterup's win: At Scottish Open, played consistent 4-under final round. Beat top players, despite on-course time pressure, proving his form with strong ball striking and length.




  • (10:2115:40 ) Adam Scott and Harry Hall recap: Both underwhelmed slightly; Hall opened hot but collapsed on the weekend, while Scott played consistent but lacked a weekend push.




  • (15:4120:30 ) Robert McIntyre: Poor Scottish performance, especially in driving, but historically capable at Portrush. Holds a 40-1 ticket from December, still seen as viable.




  • (20:3130:00 ) Rory McIlroy analysis: Missed 2019 cut at Portrush due to nerves. Now enters in top form—2nd at Scottish, strong all-around stats—favorable pick over Scheffler and Rahm.




  • (30:0140:00 ) Picks and fades: Scheffler passed on due to putting woes on fescue. Rahm inconsistent with putter and driving accuracy. DeChambeau faded for scientific playstyle and poor Open track record.




  • (40:0150:00 ) Additional odds board picks: Fleetwood, Schauffele, and Hovland analyzed for iron play and putting form. Shane Lowry and Morikawa criticized for inflated odds despite lack of results.




  • (50:0160:00 ) Matchups and sleeper: Fleetwood/Hovland/Xander all picked over DeChambeau. Sleeper is Christopher Reitan for top 20. Best bet: Anton Rosner top Frenchman.




  • (60:01 –end) DraftKings lineup and first-round picks: Rory, McIntyre, Henley, Fitzpatrick, Scott, and Reitan chosen. Three-ball first-round matchups favoring Oosthuizen, McCarty, and Reitan over lesser competitors.





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Open Championship Picks and Predictions

Open Championship Picks and Predictions

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