DiscoverRJ Bell's Dream PreviewWM Phoenix Open picks!
WM Phoenix Open picks!

WM Phoenix Open picks!

Update: 2025-02-05
Share

Description

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the WM Phoenix Open.


-Top 6 names on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring

-Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

Recap of Pebble Beach Pro-Am (0:39 - 32:26 )

Rory McIlroy’s Dominance



  • McIlroy secured his 27th PGA Tour win with a commanding performance.

  • He finished 5-under on the final nine holes, with birdies at 10, 12, and 15, and a momentum-shifting eagle on the 14th.


  • Led the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and was top 10 in putting.


  • Averaged 336 yards per drive (leading the field), scaling back to irons strategically in the final round.

  • Will Doctor highlights McIlroy’s shift to a conservative approach in his final round, citing Jamie Kennedy (Golf Digest) for insightful questions on McIlroy's tactics.

Scottie Scheffler’s Performance


  • Finished T-9 despite high expectations.

  • Was above average in all statistical categories, with a final-round 67.


  • Second round (70) cost him ground, but overall solid performance.

Tom Kim’s Near Miss



  • Finished T-7, cashing a top-10 ticket.

  • Struggled on par-5s, a key reason for missing a podium finish.

  • Big mistake: bogey on the par-5 6th, where he hit into the Pacific Ocean.


  • His slow play is a concern heading into Phoenix Open, especially with rowdy fans at TPC Scottsdale.


WM Phoenix Open – Picks & Predictions

Top Contenders & Betting Analysis

Scottie Scheffler (+305)


  • Back-to-back WM Phoenix Open winner (2022, 2023).


  • T-3 last year.

  • Improved putting over recent months.


  • Not betting outright but looking for a live number.

Justin Thomas (15:1)


  • Driving accuracy concerns.

  • Has played well in Phoenix but struggles to win due to tee-shot inconsistencies.


  • Passing on JT outright.

Hideki Matsuyama (17:1)


  • 2-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017).


  • Struggled with driving accuracy in recent events.


  • Third consecutive tournament, raising fatigue concerns.

Sungjae Im (22:1)


  • Has 2 top-10 finishes at Phoenix Open.

  • However, below-average iron play in 2 of last 3 starts.

  • Has not truly contended at this event.

Sam Burns (25:1)


  • Back-to-back top-10s at WM Phoenix Open.


  • Struggling with approach play in recent months.


  • Passing on Burns this week.

Tom Kim (33:1)


  • Slow play may be an issue in a loud environment.


  • T-17 last year, finished 11 shots back.

  • Not enough value at 33:1, so passing on Kim.

Best Bets & Sleeper Picks

Matchup Bets


  • Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106)


  • Hoey: Great total driver & putter on overseeded greens.


  • Lawrence: Poor driving accuracy & distance.

  • Hoey should outperform Lawrence in these conditions.

Top Picks

Kurt Kitayama

  • Win: 66:1

  • Top-20: +240


  • Strengths: Elite driver, strong recent putting.


  • Recent results at WM Phoenix Open:


  • T-23 in 2023.


  • T-8 in 2022.


  • Why bet? Improved driving accuracy recently, well-rested after missing Farmers.

Gary Woodland (Sleeper Pick)

  • Win: 115:1

  • Top-20: +350


  • Past Winner (2018).


  • Ball-striking back to form with coach Randy Smith.

  • Putting showed improvement at Pebble Beach.


  • Low risk, high reward pick.

Daily Fantasy Picks (DraftKings & PGA Tour Lineup)

DraftKings Lineup ($50K Budget)


  1. Kurt Kitayama ($8.9K)

  2. Luke Clanton ($8.3K)

  3. Si Woo Kim ($8K)

  4. Matt Fitzpatrick ($7.7K)

  5. Charlie Hoffman ($7.2K)

  6. Gary Woodland ($7.1K)

PGA Tour Fantasy Lineup



  • Starters: Kitayama (Captain), Woodland, Clanton, Si Woo Kim.


  • Bench: Hoffman, Fitzpatrick.

Final Predictions



  • Winning Score: -18


  • Best Bet: Kurt Kitayama Top-20 (+240)


  • First-Round Leader Bet: Scottie Scheffler (Top-5 after Round 1) at +320.


Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Comments 
00:00
00:00
x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

WM Phoenix Open picks!

WM Phoenix Open picks!

Pregame.com